Football · Slovenia Prva Liga · 08/11, 17:30
Prediction: NK Radomlje vs NK Celje
Team pages: NK Radomlje · NK Celje
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
NK Radomlje1.06
NK Celje2.1
1X2
NK Radomlje
Draw
NK Celje
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Radomlje
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
NK Celje
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NK Radomlje
0–6
NK Celje
(6 last)
- NK Radomlje1-3NK Celje
- NK Celje3-1NK Radomlje
- NK Radomlje0-3NK Celje
- NK Celje2-0NK Radomlje
- NK Radomlje1-3NK Celje
- NK Celje9-1NK Radomlje
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · NK Radomlje 1458 · NK Celje 1548
| NK Radomlje | Draw | NK Celje | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 22% | 60% |
| Market | 18% | 21% | 61% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Celje (rating 1458 vs 1548).
- H2H favours NK Celje: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Radomlje | NK Celje | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.3 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.1 | 2.7 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Radomlje 0–0–6 NK Celje
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Radomlje | 1-3 HT 1-2 | NK Celje |
| 04/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Celje | 3-1 HT 1-0 | NK Radomlje |
| 05/10/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Radomlje | 0-3 HT 0-2 | NK Celje |
| 27/07/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Celje | 2-0 HT 1-0 | NK Radomlje |
| 21/04/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Radomlje | 1-3 HT 1-0 | NK Celje |
| 23/02/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Celje | 9-1 HT 4-1 | NK Radomlje |
Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Koper | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 29 |
| 2 | NK Maribor | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 24 |
| 3 | NK Bravo | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 23 |
| 4 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 23 |
| 5 | NK Celje | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | NK Nafta 1903 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 21 | 19 |
| 7 | Aluminij Kidricevo | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 13 | 17 |
| 8 | NS Mura | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 14 |
| 9 | NK Brinje Grosuplje | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 13 |
| 10 | NK Radomlje | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NK Radomlje | NK Celje |
|---|---|---|
| Aluminij Kidricevo | 0-5 L | 1-0 W |
| NS Mura | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| NK Bravo | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| FC Koper | 3-3 D | 0-1 L |
| NK Brinje Grosuplje | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| NK Maribor | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| NK Nafta 1903 | 1-3 L | 4-0 W |
| Olimpija Ljubljana | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 4 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Radomlje
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Aluminij Kidricevo Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/10 | NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 11 | D |
| 17/10 | NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 20/09 | NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 16/08 | Aluminij Kidricevo Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 10/08 | NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
NK Celje
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 28/10 | Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/10 | NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 10/10 | Aluminij Kidricevo Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 02/09 | Aluminij Kidricevo Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Radomlje vs NK Celje?
According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Celje win (61%). Probabilities: NK Radomlje 18%, draw 22%, NK Celje 61%.
How many goals are expected in NK Radomlje vs NK Celje?
The model expects 3.15 goals (NK Radomlje 1.06 · NK Celje 2.1), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Radomlje vs NK Celje?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.