Football · Slovenia Prva Liga · 07/11, 18:00

Prediction: NK Bravo vs NK Maribor

Team pages: NK Bravo · NK Maribor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

NK Bravo1.09

NK Maribor1.57

1X2

26% 26% 48%

NK Bravo Draw NK Maribor

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Bravo 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDLWDWWLDD

NK Maribor 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDWDWDLL

Head-to-head

NK Bravo 1–2–3 NK Maribor (6 last)

NK Maribor3-1NK Bravo
NK Bravo3-0NK Maribor
NK Maribor2-0NK Bravo
NK Bravo2-3NK Maribor
NK Maribor3-3NK Bravo
NK Bravo1-1NK Maribor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Bravo 1535 · NK Maribor 1514

	NK Bravo	Draw	NK Maribor
Our model	25%	28%	47%
Market	26%	25%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours NK Maribor: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Bravo	NK Maribor
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.9	1.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.2	3 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.60

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.94 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.71
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:18 +3’	3.40	3.60	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:14 +6’	3.89	3.66	1.83
18:14 +12’	3.94▲	3.71▲	1.85▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Bravo 1–2–3 NK Maribor

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/08/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	NK Maribor	3-1 HT 0-1	NK Bravo
26/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	NK Bravo	3-0 HT 2-0	NK Maribor
22/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	NK Maribor	2-0 HT 1-0	NK Bravo
01/11/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	NK Bravo	2-3 HT 1-2	NK Maribor
16/08/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	NK Maribor	3-3 HT 0-1	NK Bravo
13/04/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	NK Bravo	1-1 HT 0-0	NK Maribor

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Koper	13	7	4	2	23	11	25
2	NK Maribor	14	6	6	2	21	14	24
3	Olimpija Ljubljana	14	6	4	4	16	12	22
4	NK Bravo	13	5	5	3	14	13	20
5	NK Celje	13	5	5	3	17	12	20
6	NK Nafta 1903	14	5	3	6	18	20	18
7	Aluminij Kidricevo	14	4	5	5	21	13	17
8	NS Mura	14	2	7	5	14	25	13
9	NK Brinje Grosuplje	14	3	4	7	15	25	13
10	NK Radomlje	13	1	5	7	15	29	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Bravo	NK Maribor
NK Brinje Grosuplje	0-0 D	2-1 W
NK Radomlje	2-2 D	3-0 W
NK Nafta 1903	0-1 L	3-2 W
Olimpija Ljubljana	2-1 W	0-1 L
NK Celje	2-1 W	0-0 D
Aluminij Kidricevo	0-0 D	2-2 D
NS Mura	2-0 W	1-1 D
FC Koper	0-0 D	0-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 1 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: NK Bravo (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Bravo

DDLWDWWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
17/10	NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga	1-1	2-2	6	5	D
11/10	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	8	2	L
20/09	Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga	1-1	2-1	2	11	W
12/09	NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	2-1	2	3	W
05/09	Aluminij Kidricevo Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
29/08	NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
23/08	NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	1-3	1	4	L
16/08	FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
09/08	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	4	4	D

NK Maribor

DWWDWDWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	10	6	L
27/10	FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	0-4	5	5	L
18/10	NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
11/10	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	2-1	6	6	W
19/09	Aluminij Kidricevo Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	2-2	9	2	D
13/09	NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga	2-0	3-0	10	3	W
06/09	NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
30/08	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga	2-1	3-2	8	5	W
23/08	NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	3-1	10	4	W
15/08	Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	3	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Bravo vs NK Maribor?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Maribor win (48%). Probabilities: NK Bravo 26%, draw 26%, NK Maribor 48%.

How many goals are expected in NK Bravo vs NK Maribor?

The model expects 2.65 goals (NK Bravo 1.09 · NK Maribor 1.57), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Bravo vs NK Maribor?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.