Football · Slovenia Prva Liga · 02/11, 17:00

Prediction: NK Bravo vs FC Koper

Team pages: NK Bravo · FC Koper

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.89Total

NK Bravo1.21

FC Koper1.68

1X2

26% 26% 47%

NK Bravo Draw FC Koper

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Bravo 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDLWDWWLDD

FC Koper 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWWLWDWW

Head-to-head

NK Bravo 1–2–3 FC Koper (6 last)

FC Koper0-0NK Bravo
NK Bravo1-1FC Koper
FC Koper6-2NK Bravo
NK Bravo4-2FC Koper
FC Koper2-1NK Bravo
FC Koper3-0NK Bravo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Bravo 1525 · FC Koper 1565

	NK Bravo	Draw	FC Koper
Our model	26%	26%	47%
Market	27%	26%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Koper (rating 1525 vs 1565).
H2H favours FC Koper: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Bravo	FC Koper
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.9	1.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.2	2.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	4.7 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.50

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 10:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.40▲	Pinn 3.54
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.73 ★
2	1.95 → 1.90▼	Pinn 1.95

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:24 +8’	3.20	3.50	1.95
17:48 +8’	3.50▲	3.60▲	1.83▼
08:18 +6’	3.75▲	3.50▼	1.80▼
10:18 +7’	3.40▼	3.50	1.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:43 +13’	4.03	3.72	1.79
19:29 +6’	3.83▼	3.68▼	1.88▲
21:21 +24’	3.54▼	3.73▲	1.95▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Bravo 1–2–3 FC Koper

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	FC Koper	0-0 HT 0-0	NK Bravo
04/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	NK Bravo	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Koper
31/01/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	FC Koper	6-2 HT 5-0	NK Bravo
28/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	NK Bravo	4-2 HT 2-1	FC Koper
20/07/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	FC Koper	2-1 HT 0-0	NK Bravo
23/04/25 Slovenia Cup	FC Koper	3-0 HT 3-0	NK Bravo

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Koper	13	7	4	2	23	11	25
2	NK Maribor	14	6	6	2	21	14	24
3	Olimpija Ljubljana	14	6	4	4	16	12	22
4	NK Bravo	13	5	5	3	14	13	20
5	NK Nafta 1903	13	5	3	5	18	16	18
6	NK Celje	12	4	5	3	13	12	17
7	Aluminij Kidricevo	14	4	5	5	21	13	17
8	NS Mura	13	2	6	5	14	25	12
9	NK Brinje Grosuplje	13	3	3	7	15	25	12
10	NK Radomlje	13	1	5	7	15	29	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Bravo	FC Koper
NK Brinje Grosuplje	0-0 D	5-0 W
NK Radomlje	2-2 D	3-3 D
NK Nafta 1903	0-1 L	2-0 W
Olimpija Ljubljana	2-1 W	1-3 L
NK Celje	2-1 W	1-0 W
Aluminij Kidricevo	0-0 D	1-0 W
NS Mura	2-0 W	1-0 W
NK Maribor	1-3 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	6 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Koper (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Bravo

DDLWDWWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
17/10	NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga	1-1	2-2	6	5	D
11/10	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	8	2	L
20/09	Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga	1-1	2-1	2	11	W
12/09	NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	2-1	2	3	W
05/09	Aluminij Kidricevo Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
29/08	NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
23/08	NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	1-3	1	4	L
16/08	FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
09/08	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	4	4	D

FC Koper

LDWWWLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	4-0	2	5	W
18/10	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga	2-0	5-0	3	5	W
10/10	NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga	2-2	3-3	10	8	D
19/09	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
12/09	Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	1-3	4	8	L
06/09	NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	5	8	W
28/08	Aluminij Kidricevo Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
22/08	NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
16/08	NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
09/08	NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Bravo vs FC Koper?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Koper win (47%). Probabilities: NK Bravo 26%, draw 26%, FC Koper 47%.

How many goals are expected in NK Bravo vs FC Koper?

The model expects 2.89 goals (NK Bravo 1.21 · FC Koper 1.68), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Bravo vs FC Koper?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.