Prediction: Muranga Seal vs Nairobi United
Team pages: Muranga Seal · Nairobi United
- Muranga Seal2-4Nairobi United
- Nairobi United1-1Muranga Seal
| Muranga Seal | Draw | Nairobi United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| Market | 35% | 30% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Muranga Seal | Nairobi United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.8 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/25/50% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 3.9 | 3.5 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Muranga Seal 0–1–1 Nairobi United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Kenya Premier League | Muranga Seal | 2-4 HT 2-3 | Nairobi United |
| 12/12/25 Kenya Premier League | Nairobi United | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Muranga Seal |
Standings · Kenya Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | 3K FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 3 | Mara Sugar FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 4 | AFC Leopards | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Shabana FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | KCB | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Muranga Seal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 3 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Posta Rangers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| 12 | Migori Youth | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Administration Police FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | Bandari FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Mathare United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 17 | Ulinzi Stars | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 18 | Mombasa United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Muranga Seal | Nairobi United |
|---|---|---|
| Posta Rangers | 5-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Gor Mahia | 2-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Administration Police FC | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Kariobangi Sharks | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Muranga Seal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | 3K FC Kenya Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Posta Rangers Kenya Premier League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/10 | Gor Mahia Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Mara Sugar FC Kenya Premier League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Bidco United Kenya Premier League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Gor Mahia Kenya Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Kakamega Homeboyz Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 06/05 | Administration Police FC Kenya Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Kariobangi Sharks Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Nairobi United Kenya Premier League |
2-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
Nairobi United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | APS Bomet Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 18/10 | Shabana FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | KCB Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Gor Mahia Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Administration Police FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Posta Rangers Kenya Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Kariobangi Sharks Kenya Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | Tusker Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Mathare United Kenya Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Muranga Seal Kenya Premier League |
3-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Muranga Seal vs Nairobi United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Muranga Seal win (36%). Probabilities: Muranga Seal 36%, draw 29%, Nairobi United 35%.
How many goals are expected in Muranga Seal vs Nairobi United?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Muranga Seal 1.39 · Nairobi United 1.38), with a 61% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Muranga Seal vs Nairobi United?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.