Football · Kenya Premier League · 28/10, 12:00
Prediction: Bandari FC vs Posta Rangers
Team pages: Bandari FC · Posta Rangers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.94Total
Bandari FC1.14
Posta Rangers0.8
1X2
Bandari FC
Draw
Posta Rangers
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Bandari FC
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Posta Rangers
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bandari FC
0–5–1
Posta Rangers
(6 last)
- Bandari FC1-1Posta Rangers
- Posta Rangers0-0Bandari FC
- Bandari FC1-1Posta Rangers
- Posta Rangers1-1Bandari FC
- Bandari FC0-0Posta Rangers
- Posta Rangers2-0Bandari FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bandari FC 1502 · Posta Rangers 1478
| Bandari FC | Draw | Posta Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 33% | 24% |
| Market | 43% | 32% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.94 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bandari FC | Posta Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/44/33% | 44/33/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.7 | 1.8 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bandari FC 0–5–1 Posta Rangers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Kenya Premier League | Bandari FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Posta Rangers |
| 16/12/25 Kenya Premier League | Posta Rangers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Bandari FC |
| 22/06/25 Kenya Premier League | Bandari FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Posta Rangers |
| 24/08/24 Kenya Premier League | Posta Rangers | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Bandari FC |
| 11/05/24 Kenya Premier League | Bandari FC | 0-0 | Posta Rangers |
| 28/10/23 Kenya Premier League | Posta Rangers | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Bandari FC |
Standings · Kenya Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | 3K FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 3 | Mara Sugar FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 4 | AFC Leopards | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Shabana FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | KCB | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Muranga Seal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 3 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Posta Rangers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| 12 | Migori Youth | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 | Administration Police FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | Bandari FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Mathare United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 17 | Ulinzi Stars | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 18 | Mombasa United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bandari FC | Posta Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| APS Bomet | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| KCB | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Ulinzi Stars | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bandari FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Gor Mahia Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/10 | 3K FC Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 14/10 | AFC Leopards Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Mathare United Kenya Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Tusker Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | APS Bomet Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | KCB Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Posta Rangers Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Ulinzi Stars Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Gor Mahia Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Posta Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | KCB Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/10 | Muranga Seal Kenya Premier League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Shabana FC Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Ulinzi Stars Kenya Premier League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | KCB Kenya Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Nairobi United Kenya Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/05 | Sofapaka FC Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Bandari FC Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 24/04 | Bidco United Kenya Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 19/04 | APS Bomet Kenya Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bandari FC vs Posta Rangers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bandari FC win (43%). Probabilities: Bandari FC 43%, draw 33%, Posta Rangers 25%.
How many goals are expected in Bandari FC vs Posta Rangers?
The model expects 1.94 goals (Bandari FC 1.14 · Posta Rangers 0.8), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bandari FC vs Posta Rangers?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.