Football · Panama Liga Prom · 20/10, 23:00

Prediction: Herrera FC Reserves vs CD Universitario Reserves

Team pages: Herrera FC Reserves · CD Universitario Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.73Total

Herrera FC Reserves1.07

CD Universitario Reserves2.66

1X2

13% 17% 71%

Herrera FC Reserves Draw CD Universitario Reserves

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Herrera FC Reserves 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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CD Universitario Reserves 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Herrera FC Reserves 0–6 CD Universitario Reserves (6 last)

CD Universitario Reserves3-1Herrera FC Reserves
CD Universitario Reserves4-0Herrera FC Reserves
CD Universitario Reserves6-1Herrera FC Reserves
Herrera FC Reserves0-1CD Universitario Reserves
Herrera FC Reserves1-3CD Universitario Reserves
CD Universitario Reserves2-1Herrera FC Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Herrera FC Reserves 1418 · CD Universitario Reserves 1511

	Herrera FC Reserves	Draw	CD Universitario Reserves
Our model	12%	17%	70%
Market	13%	16%	71%

Estimated total (ours) 3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Universitario Reserves (rating 1418 vs 1511).
H2H favours CD Universitario Reserves: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Herrera FC Reserves	CD Universitario Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 3	1.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/17/50%	11/44/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.3	2.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.5	6.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

17.00

X5.50

21.27

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.75)1.90

2 (-1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.50 → 7.00▼	Bet365 7.00
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	1.25 → 1.27▲	Bet365 1.27

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:00 +6’	7.50	5.50	1.25
21:11 +11’	7.00▼	5.50	1.27▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Herrera FC Reserves 0–0–6 CD Universitario Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Panama Liga Prom	CD Universitario Reserves	3-1 HT 1-0	Herrera FC Reserves
28/01/26 Panama Liga Prom	CD Universitario Reserves	4-0 HT 3-0	Herrera FC Reserves
01/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	CD Universitario Reserves	6-1	Herrera FC Reserves
16/08/25 Panama Liga Prom	Herrera FC Reserves	0-1 HT 0-1	CD Universitario Reserves
09/05/25 Panama Liga Prom	Herrera FC Reserves	1-3 HT 1-2	CD Universitario Reserves
12/02/25 Panama Liga Prom	CD Universitario Reserves	2-1 HT 0-0	Herrera FC Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Universitario Reserves	12	6	2	4	19	19	20
2	Veraguas United Reserves	12	4	2	6	23	27	14
3	Rayados de Chiriqui	12	3	2	7	19	28	11
4	Bocas	12	2	4	6	17	25	10
5	Herrera FC Reserves	11	2	1	8	19	31	7
6	La Familia FC	12	1	2	9	18	32	5

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Herrera FC Reserves	CD Universitario Reserves
Rayados de Chiriqui	4-4 D	2-1 W
SD Atletico Nacional	2-3 L	1-3 L
San Francisco Reserves	0-1 L	0-1 L
Udelas FC	1-3 L	0-1 L
Aguilas de la U	0-6 L	1-5 L
Union Cocle Reserves	1-4 L	0-0 D
Veraguas United Reserves	2-4 L	2-0 W
La Familia FC	5-1 W	4-3 W
Bocas	3-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 6 L	3 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CD Universitario Reserves (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Herrera FC Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	–	4-4	–	–	D
26/09	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	–	2-3	–	–	L
19/09	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	9	6	L
12/09	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	–	1-3	–	–	L
05/09	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	–	0-6	–	–	L
26/08	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-3	1-4	5	8	L
21/08	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	2-4	6	4	L
16/08	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	5-1	4	6	W
08/08	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	2-0	3-1	1	8	W
02/08	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-3	1	6	L

CD Universitario Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	2-0	–	–	W
01/10	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
26/09	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	4	11	L
20/09	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	0-2	1-5	4	2	L
12/09	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	7	9	D
05/09	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-1	2	8	W
28/08	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	0-2	1-3	1	7	L
22/08	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	1-3	4-3	15	9	W
15/08	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	3	7	D
08/08	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Herrera FC Reserves vs CD Universitario Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Universitario Reserves win (71%). Probabilities: Herrera FC Reserves 13%, draw 17%, CD Universitario Reserves 71%.

How many goals are expected in Herrera FC Reserves vs CD Universitario Reserves?

The model expects 3.73 goals (Herrera FC Reserves 1.07 · CD Universitario Reserves 2.66), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Herrera FC Reserves vs CD Universitario Reserves?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.