Football · Panama Liga Prom · 27/10, 15:00

Prediction: San Francisco Reserves vs Aguilas de la U

Team pages: San Francisco Reserves · Aguilas de la U

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

San Francisco Reserves1.3

Aguilas de la U1.85

1X2

26% 25% 49%

San Francisco Reserves Draw Aguilas de la U

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

San Francisco Reserves 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLWWWWLW

Aguilas de la U 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

San Francisco Reserves 0–1–5 Aguilas de la U (6 last)

Aguilas de la U2-0San Francisco Reserves
San Francisco Reserves1-3Aguilas de la U
Aguilas de la U2-0San Francisco Reserves
Aguilas de la U2-2San Francisco Reserves
San Francisco Reserves1-2Aguilas de la U
San Francisco Reserves1-4Aguilas de la U

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Francisco Reserves 1519 · Aguilas de la U 1627

	San Francisco Reserves	Draw	Aguilas de la U
Our model	26%	25%	49%
Market	26%	25%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aguilas de la U (rating 1519 vs 1627).
H2H favours Aguilas de la U: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Francisco Reserves	Aguilas de la U
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	3.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/44/33%	57/43/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.4	2.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.6	4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.50

X3.60

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
23:59 +4’	3.50	3.60	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · San Francisco Reserves 0–1–5 Aguilas de la U

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Panama Liga Prom	Aguilas de la U	2-0 HT 0-0	San Francisco Reserves
11/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	San Francisco Reserves	1-3 HT 1-0	Aguilas de la U
24/01/26 Panama Liga Prom	Aguilas de la U	2-0 HT 1-0	San Francisco Reserves
04/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	Aguilas de la U	2-2 HT 0-2	San Francisco Reserves
16/08/25 Panama Liga Prom	San Francisco Reserves	1-2 HT 0-0	Aguilas de la U
10/05/25 Panama Liga Prom	San Francisco Reserves	1-4 HT 1-1	Aguilas de la U

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aguilas de la U	13	11	0	2	40	10	33
2	Udelas FC	13	11	0	2	36	12	33
3	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	12	7	3	2	25	16	24
4	San Francisco Reserves	13	7	1	5	22	22	22
5	SD Atletico Nacional	12	7	0	5	25	26	21
6	Union Cocle Reserves	12	2	3	7	12	27	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Francisco Reserves	Aguilas de la U
CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves	3-2 W	0-2 L
Udelas FC	0-3 L	2-0 W
CD Universitario Reserves	1-0 W	5-1 W
La Familia FC	2-1 W	3-2 W
Herrera FC Reserves	1-0 W	6-0 W
Bocas	4-1 W	3-1 W
Veraguas United Reserves	1-4 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Aguilas de la U (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Francisco Reserves

DLWLWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	3-2	4	5	W
08/10	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-3	0-3	8	3	L
01/10	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
27/09	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	6	9	W
19/09	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
04/09	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	–	4-1	–	–	W
28/08	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	1-4	5	4	L
21/08	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-1	3-1	2	8	W
15/08	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
07/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	1	6	D

Aguilas de la U

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-1	6	8	W
17/10	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
03/10	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	–	3-1	–	–	W
25/09	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
20/09	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-0	5-1	4	2	W
13/09	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	3-2	3-2	7	3	W
05/09	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	6-0	–	–	W
29/08	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	–	4-0	–	–	W
22/08	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-0	2	6	W
15/08	San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Francisco Reserves vs Aguilas de la U?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Aguilas de la U win (49%). Probabilities: San Francisco Reserves 26%, draw 25%, Aguilas de la U 49%.

How many goals are expected in San Francisco Reserves vs Aguilas de la U?

The model expects 3.15 goals (San Francisco Reserves 1.3 · Aguilas de la U 1.85), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in San Francisco Reserves vs Aguilas de la U?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.