Football · Panama Liga Prom · 21/10, 03:00

Prediction: CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Team pages: CD Arabe Unido Reserves · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

CD Arabe Unido Reserves1.69

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1.18

1X2

48% 26% 26%

CD Arabe Unido Reserves Draw Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Arabe Unido Reserves 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDDWWDLWL

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWWLWLLW

Head-to-head

CD Arabe Unido Reserves 4–1–1 Sporting San Miguelito Reserves (6 last)

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1-0CD Arabe Unido Reserves
CD Arabe Unido Reserves4-1Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1-2CD Arabe Unido Reserves
CD Arabe Unido Reserves2-2Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1-3CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves2-3CD Arabe Unido Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Arabe Unido Reserves 1527 · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1503

	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	Draw	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Our model	48%	26%	25%
Market	49%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CD Arabe Unido Reserves: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	0.8 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/80/0%	38/25/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.3	3.8 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	4.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.50

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:00 +4’	1.85	3.50	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Arabe Unido Reserves 4–1–1 Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/07/26 Panama Liga Prom	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	1-0 HT 1-0	CD Arabe Unido Reserves
25/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	4-1 HT 3-0	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
05/02/26 Panama Liga Prom	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	1-2 HT 0-1	CD Arabe Unido Reserves
18/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	2-2 HT 1-0	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
24/07/25 Panama Liga Prom	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	1-3 HT 1-1	CD Arabe Unido Reserves
10/05/25 Panama Liga Prom	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	2-3 HT 0-1	CD Arabe Unido Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Academia Costa Del Este	12	8	1	3	25	17	25
2	Panama City FC	12	7	4	1	14	6	25
3	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	12	6	2	4	16	16	20
4	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	12	4	3	5	19	12	15
5	UMECIT Reserves	12	2	3	7	13	25	9
6	Champions FC Academy	12	2	3	7	16	31	9

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Panama City FC	0-1 L	0-0 D
San Martin FC	7-0 W	1-0 W
Plaza Amador Reserves	0-1 L	0-4 L
Tauro FC Reserves	3-3 D	2-3 L
Potros Del Este	1-0 W	2-1 W
Alianza FC Reserves	2-1 W	0-1 L
Chorrillo	0-0 D	1-0 W
Champions FC Academy	2-2 D	3-5 L
Academia Costa Del Este	1-2 L	3-1 W
UMECIT Reserves	3-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CD Arabe Unido Reserves (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Arabe Unido Reserves

WLDDWWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
02/10	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	2-0	7-0	5	1	W
27/09	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
19/09	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-3	5	3	D
11/09	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
06/09	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	5	8	W
27/08	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
21/08	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	2-1	2-2	3	6	D
16/08	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	5	5	L
08/08	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	3-0	4	2	W

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

LDWWWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
02/10	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	0-4	–	–	L
24/09	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-3	2-3	7	7	L
17/09	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-1	16	8	W
11/09	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
05/09	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	–	1-0	–	–	W
28/08	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
21/08	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	2-1	3-1	2	4	W
14/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	6	8	D
07/08	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	1-4	3-5	9	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Arabe Unido Reserves win (48%). Probabilities: CD Arabe Unido Reserves 48%, draw 26%, Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 26%.

How many goals are expected in CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves?

The model expects 2.87 goals (CD Arabe Unido Reserves 1.69 · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1.18), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Arabe Unido Reserves vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.