Football · Panama Liga Prom · 21/10, 03:00

Prediction: UMECIT Reserves vs Academia Costa Del Este

Team pages: UMECIT Reserves · Academia Costa Del Este

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

UMECIT Reserves1.17

Academia Costa Del Este2.15

1X2

19% 22% 59%

UMECIT Reserves Draw Academia Costa Del Este

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

UMECIT Reserves 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWWDLLLLDL

Academia Costa Del Este 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWLWWLW

Head-to-head

UMECIT Reserves 3–1–2 Academia Costa Del Este (6 last)

Academia Costa Del Este2-1UMECIT Reserves
UMECIT Reserves2-1Academia Costa Del Este
Academia Costa Del Este0-1UMECIT Reserves
Academia Costa Del Este2-4UMECIT Reserves
UMECIT Reserves2-2Academia Costa Del Este
UMECIT Reserves1-4Academia Costa Del Este

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UMECIT Reserves 1441 · Academia Costa Del Este 1533

	UMECIT Reserves	Draw	Academia Costa Del Este
Our model	19%	22%	59%
Market	19%	22%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Academia Costa Del Este (rating 1441 vs 1533).
H2H favours UMECIT Reserves: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UMECIT Reserves	Academia Costa Del Este
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.2	2.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/44/33%	44/44/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.9	2.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.4	5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.75

X4.00

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.90

2 (-1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:58 +6’	4.75	4.00	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · UMECIT Reserves 3–1–2 Academia Costa Del Este

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/07/26 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	2-1 HT 0-0	UMECIT Reserves
01/05/26 Panama Liga Prom	UMECIT Reserves	2-1	Academia Costa Del Este
17/01/26 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	0-1	UMECIT Reserves
05/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	Academia Costa Del Este	2-4 HT 1-2	UMECIT Reserves
20/07/25 Panama Liga Prom	UMECIT Reserves	2-2 HT 2-1	Academia Costa Del Este
25/04/25 Panama Liga Prom	UMECIT Reserves	1-4 HT 0-2	Academia Costa Del Este

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Academia Costa Del Este	12	8	1	3	25	17	25
2	Panama City FC	12	7	4	1	14	6	25
3	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	12	6	2	4	16	16	20
4	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	12	4	3	5	19	12	15
5	UMECIT Reserves	12	2	3	7	13	25	9
6	Champions FC Academy	12	2	3	7	16	31	9

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UMECIT Reserves	Academia Costa Del Este
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves	0-2 L	1-3 L
Alianza FC Reserves	0-0 D	2-0 W
Chorrillo	0-3 L	2-3 L
San Martin FC	2-4 L	3-2 W
Plaza Amador Reserves	4-6 L	3-0 W
Tauro FC Reserves	0-2 L	2-3 L
Potros Del Este	1-1 D	3-2 W
Panama City FC	1-0 W	2-2 D
Champions FC Academy	3-1 W	2-0 W
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	0-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 6 L	6 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Academia Costa Del Este (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UMECIT Reserves

LWWDLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
02/10	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
26/09	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-3	1	6	L
20/09	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	0-3	2-4	2	10	L
12/09	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-3	4-6	13	6	L
04/09	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-2	4	9	L
30/08	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	–	1-1	–	–	D
24/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	2-1	3-1	3	6	W
08/08	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-3	6	2	L

Academia Costa Del Este

DWLWWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
02/10	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-3	6	4	L
25/09	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	3-2	11	7	W
18/09	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
11/09	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	2-1	2-3	5	10	L
06/09	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	–	3-2	–	–	W
28/08	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-0	4	5	W
21/08	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-2	1-3	5	4	L
16/08	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
09/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UMECIT Reserves vs Academia Costa Del Este?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Academia Costa Del Este win (59%). Probabilities: UMECIT Reserves 19%, draw 22%, Academia Costa Del Este 59%.

How many goals are expected in UMECIT Reserves vs Academia Costa Del Este?

The model expects 3.33 goals (UMECIT Reserves 1.17 · Academia Costa Del Este 2.15), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in UMECIT Reserves vs Academia Costa Del Este?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.