Football · Greece Super League 1 · 02/11, 17:00

Prediction: Atromitos Athinon vs Volos NFC

Team pages: Atromitos Athinon · Volos NFC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Atromitos Athinon1.68

Volos NFC1.03

1X2

51% 26% 22%

Atromitos Athinon Draw Volos NFC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Atromitos Athinon 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLDDLLL

Volos NFC 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDDLLLDL

Head-to-head

Atromitos Athinon 2–2–2 Volos NFC (6 last)

Volos NFC0-3Atromitos Athinon
Atromitos Athinon0-1Volos NFC
Volos NFC1-1Atromitos Athinon
Volos NFC0-1Atromitos Athinon
Atromitos Athinon1-2Volos NFC
Volos NFC2-2Atromitos Athinon

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atromitos Athinon 1459 · Volos NFC 1438

	Atromitos Athinon	Draw	Volos NFC
Our model	51%	27%	22%
Market	51%	26%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atromitos Athinon	Volos NFC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	0.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.2	1.4 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	5.2 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.50

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.80▼	Pinn 1.88
X	3.30 → 3.50▲	Pinn 3.65 ★
2	3.80 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7.9% Pinnacle margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:23 +4’	1.91	3.30	3.80
11:28 +1’	1.80▼	3.50▲	4.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:24 +2’	1.79	3.77	4.25
14:29 +21’	1.81▲	3.75▼	4.20▼
13:08 +5’	1.88▲	3.65▼	3.97▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atromitos Athinon 2–2–2 Volos NFC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/01/26 Greece Super League 1	Volos NFC	0-3 HT 0-2	Atromitos Athinon
09/11/25 Greece Super League 1	Atromitos Athinon	0-1 HT 0-1	Volos NFC
24/09/25 Greece Cup	Volos NFC	1-1 HT 1-0	Atromitos Athinon
24/01/25 Greece Super League 1	Volos NFC	0-1 HT 0-0	Atromitos Athinon
05/10/24 Greece Super League 1	Atromitos Athinon	1-2 HT 1-0	Volos NFC
13/04/24 Greece Super League 1	Volos NFC	2-2 HT 1-1	Atromitos Athinon

Standings · Greece Super League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Panathinaikos	8	7	0	1	18	4	21
2	Olympiacos	8	6	1	1	12	2	19
3	AEK Athens	7	5	2	0	21	3	17
4	Aris Salonika	8	5	1	2	13	14	16
5	PAOK Salonika	8	5	0	3	16	11	15
6	OFI Crete	8	4	1	3	13	12	13
7	Kifisias FC	8	3	2	3	10	11	11
8	Kalamata	8	3	1	4	13	17	10
9	Iraklis 1908 FC	8	2	3	3	9	11	9
10	Panetolikos	8	3	0	5	8	16	9
11	Asteras Tripolis	8	1	3	4	7	15	6
12	Levadiakos	8	0	3	5	0	11	3
13	Atromitos Athinon	7	0	2	5	6	12	2
14	Volos NFC	8	0	3	5	6	13	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atromitos Athinon	Volos NFC
Aris Salonika	1-3 L	2-3 L
Iraklis 1908 FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Kalamata	1-1 D	1-3 L
Olympiacos	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Volos NFC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atromitos Athinon

WLWLLDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1	1-3	1-3	1	5	L
10/10	Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1	1-2	1-2	6	3	L
19/09	Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1	0-0	1-2	3	8	L
12/09	Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 1	1-0	1-1	0	7	D
06/09	Kalamata Greece Super League 1	1-0	1-1	8	7	D
30/08	PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1	1-1	1-2	2	2	L
22/08	Olympiacos Greece Super League 1	0-0	0-1	4	10	L
21/05	Panserraikos Greece Super League 1	4-0	6-0	3	0	W
16/05	Larissa Greece Super League 1	0-2	1-2	6	5	L
12/05	Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1	1-0	3-0	9	1	W

Volos NFC

LLLDDLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
17/10	Levadiakos Greece Super League 1	0-0	0-0	2	10	D
11/10	Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1	0-3	2-3	4	4	L
20/09	AEK Athens Greece Super League 1	0-0	1-2	3	7	L
13/09	Kalamata Greece Super League 1	1-0	1-3	3	6	L
05/09	Olympiacos Greece Super League 1	0-1	1-1	0	7	D
29/08	Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 1	0-1	1-1	2	7	D
23/08	OFI Crete Greece Super League 1	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
17/05	OFI Crete Greece Super League 1	1-2	1-3	3	5	L
13/05	Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1	0-1	1-2	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atromitos Athinon vs Volos NFC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atromitos Athinon win (51%). Probabilities: Atromitos Athinon 51%, draw 26%, Volos NFC 22%.

How many goals are expected in Atromitos Athinon vs Volos NFC?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Atromitos Athinon 1.68 · Volos NFC 1.03), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Atromitos Athinon vs Volos NFC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.