Prediction: Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens
Team pages: Panathinaikos · AEK Athens
- AEK Athens2-1Panathinaikos
- Panathinaikos0-0AEK Athens
- AEK Athens4-0Panathinaikos
- Panathinaikos2-3AEK Athens
- AEK Athens1-2Panathinaikos
- Panathinaikos3-1AEK Athens
| Panathinaikos | Draw | AEK Athens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours AEK Athens: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Panathinaikos | AEK Athens | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.7 | 2.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 7.2 | 3.1 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.5 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Panathinaikos 2–1–3 AEK Athens
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Greece Super League 1 | AEK Athens | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Panathinaikos |
| 03/05/26 Greece Super League 1 | Panathinaikos | 0-0 HT 0-0 | AEK Athens |
| 18/01/26 Greece Super League 1 | AEK Athens | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Panathinaikos |
| 30/11/25 Greece Super League 1 | Panathinaikos | 2-3 HT 0-2 | AEK Athens |
| 04/05/25 Greece Super League 1 | AEK Athens | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Panathinaikos |
| 06/04/25 Greece Super League 1 | Panathinaikos | 3-1 HT 1-0 | AEK Athens |
Standings · Greece Super League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
| 2 | Olympiacos | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 19 |
| 3 | AEK Athens | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Aris Salonika | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | 16 |
| 5 | PAOK Salonika | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 7 | Kifisias FC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 8 | Kalamata | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 10 |
| 9 | Iraklis 1908 FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 9 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 6 |
| 12 | Levadiakos | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 3 |
| 13 | Atromitos Athinon | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 2 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Panathinaikos | AEK Athens |
|---|---|---|
| Volos NFC | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Asteras Tripolis | 5-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Olympiacos | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Panetolikos | 3-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Kifisias FC | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| PAOK Salonika | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Panathinaikos (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Panathinaikos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 11/10 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 11 | L |
| 20/09 | Kalamata Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 10/09 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Levadiakos Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
AEK Athens
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
3-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 22/08 | Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Panathinaikos win (42%). Probabilities: Panathinaikos 42%, draw 27%, AEK Athens 31%.
How many goals are expected in Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Panathinaikos 1.53 · AEK Athens 1.28), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.