Football · Greece Super League 1 · 08/11, 16:00
Prediction: AEK Athens vs Levadiakos
Team pages: AEK Athens · Levadiakos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
AEK Athens2.5
Levadiakos0.64
1X2
AEK Athens
Draw
Levadiakos
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
AEK Athens
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Levadiakos
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AEK Athens
5–1–0
Levadiakos
(6 last)
- AEK Athens4-0Levadiakos
- Levadiakos0-1AEK Athens
- AEK Athens1-1Levadiakos
- Levadiakos0-3AEK Athens
- AEK Athens3-0Levadiakos
- Levadiakos0-2AEK Athens
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AEK Athens 1518 · Levadiakos 1443
| AEK Athens | Draw | Levadiakos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 16% | 7% |
| Market | 77% | 17% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AEK Athens (rating 1518 vs 1443).
- H2H favours AEK Athens: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AEK Athens | Levadiakos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.2 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.5 | 4.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AEK Athens 5–1–0 Levadiakos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Greece Super League 1 | AEK Athens | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Levadiakos |
| 14/09/25 Greece Super League 1 | Levadiakos | 0-1 HT 0-0 | AEK Athens |
| 22/12/24 Greece Super League 1 | AEK Athens | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Levadiakos |
| 01/09/24 Greece Super League 1 | Levadiakos | 0-3 HT 0-1 | AEK Athens |
| 13/02/23 Greece Super League 1 | AEK Athens | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Levadiakos |
| 24/10/22 Greece Super League 1 | Levadiakos | 0-2 HT 0-0 | AEK Athens |
Standings · Greece Super League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 24 |
| 2 | Olympiacos | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
| 3 | Aris Salonika | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 19 |
| 4 | PAOK Salonika | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 18 |
| 5 | AEK Athens | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Kifisias FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| 8 | Kalamata | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
| 9 | Iraklis 1908 FC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 10 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 9 |
| 11 | Levadiakos | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 6 |
| 12 | Asteras Tripolis | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 6 |
| 13 | Atromitos Athinon | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 5 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 0 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AEK Athens | Levadiakos |
|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Panetolikos | 5-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Volos NFC | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Asteras Tripolis | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Aris Salonika | 5-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Kifisias FC | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Iraklis 1908 FC | 4-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Olympiacos | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| PAOK Salonika | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 4 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: AEK Athens (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AEK Athens
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 24/10 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
3-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | OFI Crete Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 22/08 | Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/05 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Levadiakos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/10 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 17/10 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 10 | D |
| 11/10 | Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/09 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Panathinaikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AEK Athens vs Levadiakos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AEK Athens win (77%). Probabilities: AEK Athens 77%, draw 17%, Levadiakos 6%.
How many goals are expected in AEK Athens vs Levadiakos?
The model expects 3.14 goals (AEK Athens 2.5 · Levadiakos 0.64), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in AEK Athens vs Levadiakos?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.