Football · Greece Super League 1 · 08/11, 17:30
Prediction: OFI Crete vs Atromitos Athinon
Team pages: OFI Crete · Atromitos Athinon
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
OFI Crete1.57
Atromitos Athinon1.19
1X2
OFI Crete
Draw
Atromitos Athinon
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
OFI Crete
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Atromitos Athinon
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
OFI Crete
1–3–2
Atromitos Athinon
(6 last)
- Atromitos Athinon1-2OFI Crete
- OFI Crete1-3Atromitos Athinon
- Atromitos Athinon0-0OFI Crete
- OFI Crete1-2Atromitos Athinon
- Atromitos Athinon0-0OFI Crete
- OFI Crete1-1Atromitos Athinon
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · OFI Crete 1548 · Atromitos Athinon 1476
| OFI Crete | Draw | Atromitos Athinon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 27% | 28% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours OFI Crete (rating 1548 vs 1476).
- H2H favours Atromitos Athinon: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| OFI Crete | Atromitos Athinon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4 | 2.1 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · OFI Crete 1–3–2 Atromitos Athinon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Greece Super League 1 | Atromitos Athinon | 1-2 HT 1-1 | OFI Crete |
| 25/10/25 Greece Super League 1 | OFI Crete | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Atromitos Athinon |
| 10/05/25 Greece Super League 1 | Atromitos Athinon | 0-0 HT 0-0 | OFI Crete |
| 29/03/25 Greece Super League 1 | OFI Crete | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Atromitos Athinon |
| 14/12/24 Greece Super League 1 | Atromitos Athinon | 0-0 HT 0-0 | OFI Crete |
| 24/08/24 Greece Super League 1 | OFI Crete | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Atromitos Athinon |
Standings · Greece Super League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 24 |
| 2 | Olympiacos | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
| 3 | Aris Salonika | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 19 |
| 4 | PAOK Salonika | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 18 |
| 5 | AEK Athens | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 | OFI Crete | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Kifisias FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| 8 | Kalamata | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
| 9 | Iraklis 1908 FC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 10 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 9 |
| 11 | Levadiakos | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 6 |
| 12 | Asteras Tripolis | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 6 |
| 13 | Atromitos Athinon | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 5 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | OFI Crete | Atromitos Athinon |
|---|---|---|
| PAOK Salonika | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Kalamata | 3-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Asteras Tripolis | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Olympiacos | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Kifisias FC | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Aris Salonika | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Volos NFC | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: OFI Crete (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
OFI Crete
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Panetolikos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | Kalamata Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | AEK Athens Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Atromitos Athinon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Volos NFC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 25/10 | Aris Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Asteras Tripolis Greece Super League 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Kifisias FC Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 12/09 | Iraklis 1908 FC Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Kalamata Greece Super League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | PAOK Salonika Greece Super League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Olympiacos Greece Super League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 21/05 | Panserraikos Greece Super League 1 |
4-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Larissa Greece Super League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in OFI Crete vs Atromitos Athinon?
According to our model, the most likely result is a OFI Crete win (45%). Probabilities: OFI Crete 45%, draw 27%, Atromitos Athinon 28%.
How many goals are expected in OFI Crete vs Atromitos Athinon?
The model expects 2.77 goals (OFI Crete 1.57 · Atromitos Athinon 1.19), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in OFI Crete vs Atromitos Athinon?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.