Football · Hong Kong 2nd Division · 18/10, 11:30

Prediction: Wing Go Fu Moon vs Wanchai

Team pages: Wing Go Fu Moon · Wanchai

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.95Total

Wing Go Fu Moon2.04

Wanchai1.91

1X2

41% 23% 36%

Wing Go Fu Moon Draw Wanchai

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Wing Go Fu Moon 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLDDDW

Wanchai 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLWLDL

Head-to-head

Wing Go Fu Moon 1–2–3 Wanchai (6 last)

Wing Go Fu Moon1-10Wanchai
Wing Go Fu Moon3-1Wanchai
Wing Go Fu Moon2-3Wanchai
Wanchai2-1Wing Go Fu Moon
Wing Go Fu Moon2-2Wanchai
Wanchai3-3Wing Go Fu Moon

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wing Go Fu Moon 1448 · Wanchai 1522

	Wing Go Fu Moon	Draw	Wanchai
Our model	41%	22%	36%
Market	41%	24%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.95 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wanchai (rating 1448 vs 1522).
H2H favours Wanchai: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wing Go Fu Moon	Wanchai
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 3.7	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.3	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.7	1.7 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.80

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:47 +20’	2.20	3.80	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wing Go Fu Moon 1–2–3 Wanchai

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
30/11/25 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Wing Go Fu Moon	1-10 HT 1-4	Wanchai
21/01/24 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Wing Go Fu Moon	3-1 HT 0-0	Wanchai
03/10/21 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Wing Go Fu Moon	2-3 HT 1-3	Wanchai
30/05/21 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Wanchai	2-1 HT 1-1	Wing Go Fu Moon
15/12/19 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Wing Go Fu Moon	2-2 HT 0-1	Wanchai
19/05/19 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Wanchai	3-3 HT 0-1	Wing Go Fu Moon

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wing Go Fu Moon	Wanchai
Kowloon Cricket Club	2-1 W	2-2 D
P.B Alliance	1-1 D	0-3 L
Wing Yee	0-0 D	0-2 L
GFC Friends	0-2 L	2-1 W
Tsuen Wan	2-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Wing Go Fu Moon (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wing Go Fu Moon

LWLLLLDDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Kowloon Cricket Club Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
27/09	P.B Alliance Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
13/09	Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
08/03	Kowloon Cricket Club Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
04/01	GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
30/11	Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-4	1-10	2	2	L
16/11	Kwai Tsing DFA Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-5	1-10	3	3	L
09/11	Kowloon Cricket Club Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-2	0-7	2	4	L
26/10	Tsuen Wan Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	2-1	3	7	W
19/10	P.B Alliance Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-1	0-3	7	3	L

Wanchai

WLLWWLWLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Tsun Tat Kwok Keung Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
27/09	Kowloon Cricket Club Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	2-2	5	4	D
20/09	P.B Alliance Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-1	0-3	0	1	L
13/09	Tsuen Wan Hong Kong 2nd Division	2-0	3-1	5	3	W
06/09	Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
24/05	GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division	2-1	4-2	3	4	W
26/04	Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
12/04	Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
22/03	Leaper FC Hong Kong 2nd Division	2-0	4-2	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wing Go Fu Moon vs Wanchai?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wing Go Fu Moon win (41%). Probabilities: Wing Go Fu Moon 41%, draw 23%, Wanchai 36%.

How many goals are expected in Wing Go Fu Moon vs Wanchai?

The model expects 3.95 goals (Wing Go Fu Moon 2.04 · Wanchai 1.91), with a 60% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Wing Go Fu Moon vs Wanchai?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.