Football · Hong Kong 2nd Division · 18/10, 09:30

Prediction: Kwai Tsing DFA vs Kowloon Cricket Club

Team pages: Kwai Tsing DFA · Kowloon Cricket Club

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

Kwai Tsing DFA1.97

Kowloon Cricket Club1.14

1X2

56% 23% 21%

Kwai Tsing DFA Draw Kowloon Cricket Club

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Kwai Tsing DFA 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Kowloon Cricket Club 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDWWLWDL

Head-to-head

Kwai Tsing DFA 3–0 Kowloon Cricket Club (3 last)

Kwai Tsing DFA1-0Kowloon Cricket Club
Kowloon Cricket Club0-2Kwai Tsing DFA
Kwai Tsing DFA2-0Kowloon Cricket Club

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kwai Tsing DFA 1539 · Kowloon Cricket Club 1502

	Kwai Tsing DFA	Draw	Kowloon Cricket Club
Our model	56%	24%	21%
Market	56%	22%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kwai Tsing DFA: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kwai Tsing DFA	Kowloon Cricket Club
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.6	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.7	1.6 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.00

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:12 +21’	1.60	4.00	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kwai Tsing DFA 3–0–0 Kowloon Cricket Club

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/11/25 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Kwai Tsing DFA	1-0 HT 1-0	Kowloon Cricket Club
10/03/24 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Kowloon Cricket Club	0-2 HT 0-2	Kwai Tsing DFA
22/10/23 Hong Kong 2nd Division	Kwai Tsing DFA	2-0 HT 1-0	Kowloon Cricket Club

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kwai Tsing DFA	Kowloon Cricket Club
P.B Alliance	0-4 L	1-4 L
Wong Tai Sin	1-0 W	1-1 D
Leaper FC	1-2 L	0-2 L
Wanchai	1-4 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kwai Tsing DFA

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	P.B Alliance Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-1	0-4	3	4	L
20/09	Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
13/09	Kwun Tong Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
06/09	Wong Tai Sin Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	1-0	4	10	W
10/05	Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
26/04	Leaper FC Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-1	1-2	10	5	L
12/04	GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division	2-1	4-3	1	6	W
01/03	Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-1	1-1	6	1	D
01/02	Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-1	1-4	7	1	L
04/01	P.B Alliance Hong Kong 2nd Division	2-1	5-2	5	4	W

Kowloon Cricket Club

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Wing Go Fu Moon Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-1	1-2	2	6	L
27/09	Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-1	2-2	6	4	D
20/09	Tsun Tat Kwok Keung Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
13/09	P.B Alliance Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-2	1-4	0	0	L
06/09	Tsuen Wan Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
31/05	P.B Alliance Hong Kong 2nd Division	2-0	5-0	3	2	W
17/05	Wong Tai Sin Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
08/03	Wing Go Fu Moon Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-1	2-2	3	3	D
01/02	Tsuen Wan Hong Kong 2nd Division	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
04/01	Leaper FC Hong Kong 2nd Division	0-0	0-2	1	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kwai Tsing DFA vs Kowloon Cricket Club?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kwai Tsing DFA win (56%). Probabilities: Kwai Tsing DFA 56%, draw 23%, Kowloon Cricket Club 21%.

How many goals are expected in Kwai Tsing DFA vs Kowloon Cricket Club?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Kwai Tsing DFA 1.97 · Kowloon Cricket Club 1.14), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kwai Tsing DFA vs Kowloon Cricket Club?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.