Prediction: Wing Yee vs Tuen Mun SA
Team pages: Wing Yee · Tuen Mun SA
- Wing Yee2-1Tuen Mun SA
- Tuen Mun SA3-1Wing Yee
- Wing Yee0-2Tuen Mun SA
| Wing Yee | Draw | Tuen Mun SA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 25% | 27% |
| Market | 49% | 24% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wing Yee (rating 1474 vs 1398).
- H2H favours Tuen Mun SA: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wing Yee | Tuen Mun SA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.3 | 0.7 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 0.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.4 | 2.5 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wing Yee 1–0–2 Tuen Mun SA
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/25 Hong Kong 2nd Division | Wing Yee | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Tuen Mun SA |
| 05/01/25 Hong Kong 1st Division | Tuen Mun SA | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Wing Yee |
| 17/11/24 Hong Kong 1st Division | Wing Yee | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Tuen Mun SA |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wing Yee | Tuen Mun SA |
|---|---|---|
| GFC Friends | 2-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Yau Tsim Mong | 5-3 W | 2-1 W |
| Sui Tung | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tuen Mun SA (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wing Yee
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Double Flower Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 27/09 | Sun Hei Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Kwai Tsing DFA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Wing Go Fu Moon Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 12/04 | Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 5-3 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Sui Tung Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/03 | Kwai Tsing DFA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
Tuen Mun SA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Kwun Tong Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Wong Tai Sin Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | Yau Tsim Mong Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Tsuen Wan Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/02 | Fukien Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 04/01 | Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/12 | Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 30/11 | Sui Tung Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/11 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wing Yee vs Tuen Mun SA?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wing Yee win (49%). Probabilities: Wing Yee 49%, draw 24%, Tuen Mun SA 27%.
How many goals are expected in Wing Yee vs Tuen Mun SA?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Wing Yee 1.83 · Tuen Mun SA 1.31), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Wing Yee vs Tuen Mun SA?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.