Prediction: Aurora vs Deportivo San Pedro

Team pages: Aurora · Deportivo San Pedro

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Aurora1.58
Deportivo San Pedro1.01
1X2
48% 30% 22%
Aurora Draw Deportivo San Pedro
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Aurora 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WWLLLWLLWW
Deportivo San Pedro 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LWDWDDLLWD
Head-to-head
Aurora 0–1 Deportivo San Pedro (1 last)
  • Deportivo San Pedro2-1Aurora
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aurora 1495 · Deportivo San Pedro 1508
AuroraDrawDeportivo San Pedro
Our model49%28%23%
Market47%33%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AuroraDeportivo San Pedro
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.61.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.80.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.12.1 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.45.2 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · Aurora 0–0–1 Deportivo San Pedro

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/08/26
Guatemala Liga Nacional
Deportivo San Pedro2-1
HT 2-0
Aurora

Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Antigua GFC 14824 252026
2 Guastatoya 14824 201626
3 CSD Municipal 13742 19925
4 Deportivo San Pedro 14644 171422
5 Xelaju 14635 271721
6 Marquense 14635 151721
7 Deportivo Mixco 13625 232120
8 Aurora 14608 212318
9 Coban Imperial 14446 182116
10 Malacateco 14437 152115
11 CSD Comunicaciones 14428 172314
12 Suchitepequez 14158 15308

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAuroraDeportivo San Pedro
CSD Comunicaciones 2-1 W 2-1 W
Xelaju 2-1 W 0-2 L
Guastatoya 1-2 L 1-2 L
Coban Imperial 2-3 L 1-1 D
Marquense 1-0 W 0-0 D
Deportivo Mixco 2-3 L 2-0 W
CSD Municipal 1-2 L 0-0 D
Antigua GFC 1-2 L 4-3 W
Malacateco 1-0 W 0-2 L
Suchitepequez 3-2 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 5 L 3 W 4 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aurora

WWLLLWLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/10 CSD Comunicaciones
Guatemala Liga Nacional
2-1 2-1 28 W
10/10 Xelaju
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-1 2-1 46 W
05/10 Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional
1-1 1-2 –– L
27/09 Coban Imperial
Guatemala Liga Nacional
1-1 2-3 35 L
19/09 Marquense
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 1-0 41 W
13/09 Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
1-3 2-3 78 L
10/09 CSD Municipal
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-1 1-2 56 L
05/09 Antigua GFC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 1-2 16 L
31/08 Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
1-0 1-0 53 W
22/08 Suchitepequez
Guatemala Liga Nacional
1-0 3-2 65 W

Deportivo San Pedro

LWDWDDLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/10 Suchitepequez
Guatemala Liga Nacional
1-1 1-1 24 D
11/10 CSD Comunicaciones
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-1 2-1 76 W
04/10 Xelaju
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-1 0-2 57 L
26/09 Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 1-2 –– L
20/09 Coban Imperial
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 1-1 48 D
13/09 Marquense
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 0-0 45 D
09/09 Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
1-0 2-0 67 W
07/09 CSD Municipal
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-0 0-0 15 D
30/08 Antigua GFC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
3-1 4-3 06 W
24/08 Malacateco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
0-1 0-2 35 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aurora vs Deportivo San Pedro?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Aurora win (48%). Probabilities: Aurora 48%, draw 30%, Deportivo San Pedro 22%.

How many goals are expected in Aurora vs Deportivo San Pedro?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Aurora 1.58 · Deportivo San Pedro 1.01), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Aurora vs Deportivo San Pedro?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.