Football · Guatemala Liga Nacional · 25/10, 00:00
Prediction: Guastatoya vs Deportivo Mixco
Team pages: Guastatoya · Deportivo Mixco
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Guastatoya1.75
Deportivo Mixco0.95
1X2
Guastatoya
Draw
Deportivo Mixco
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Guastatoya
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Mixco
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guastatoya
3–3
Deportivo Mixco
(6 last)
- Deportivo Mixco4-2Guastatoya
- Deportivo Mixco1-0Guastatoya
- Guastatoya2-0Deportivo Mixco
- Guastatoya1-0Deportivo Mixco
- Deportivo Mixco2-0Guastatoya
- Guastatoya1-0Deportivo Mixco
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guastatoya 1527 · Deportivo Mixco 1515
| Guastatoya | Draw | Deportivo Mixco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guastatoya | Deportivo Mixco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.3 | 2.1 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.8 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guastatoya 3–0–3 Deportivo Mixco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 4-2 HT 3-0 | Guastatoya |
| 07/03/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Guastatoya |
| 23/01/26 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Guastatoya | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Mixco |
| 07/11/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Guastatoya | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Mixco |
| 30/08/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Deportivo Mixco | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Guastatoya |
| 27/04/25 Guatemala Liga Nacional | Guastatoya | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Mixco |
Standings · Guatemala Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 29 |
| 2 | CSD Municipal | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | Guastatoya | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 27 |
| 4 | Deportivo Mixco | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 24 |
| 5 | Marquense | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 24 |
| 6 | Deportivo San Pedro | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 22 |
| 7 | Xelaju | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 21 |
| 8 | Aurora | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 18 |
| 10 | Coban Imperial | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 16 |
| 11 | CSD Comunicaciones | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 24 | 14 |
| 12 | Suchitepequez | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 8 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guastatoya | Deportivo Mixco |
|---|---|---|
| CSD Municipal | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Antigua GFC | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Malacateco | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Aurora | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Deportivo San Pedro | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| CSD Comunicaciones | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Xelaju | 2-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Suchitepequez | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Coban Imperial | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Marquense | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 4 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Mixco (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guastatoya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 15/10 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 11/10 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 05/10 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 14/09 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/09 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Deportivo Mixco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | CSD Municipal Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | Coban Imperial Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/10 | Marquense Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Suchitepequez Guatemala Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27/09 | Antigua GFC Guatemala Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 21/09 | Malacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Aurora Guatemala Liga Nacional |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 09/09 | Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | CSD Comunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | Xelaju Guatemala Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guastatoya vs Deportivo Mixco?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guastatoya win (55%). Probabilities: Guastatoya 55%, draw 25%, Deportivo Mixco 20%.
How many goals are expected in Guastatoya vs Deportivo Mixco?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Guastatoya 1.75 · Deportivo Mixco 0.95), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Guastatoya vs Deportivo Mixco?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.