Football · South Korea K4 League · 17/10, 07:00

Prediction: Geoje Citizen FC vs Haman

Team pages: Geoje Citizen FC · Haman

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
Geoje Citizen FC2.12
Haman1.12
1X2
60% 22% 19%
Geoje Citizen FC Draw Haman
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Geoje Citizen FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWLLWLWWDW
Haman 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
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Head-to-head
Geoje Citizen FC 0–1–0 Haman (1 last)
  • Haman2-2Geoje Citizen FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Geoje Citizen FC 1545 · Haman 1461
Geoje Citizen FCDrawHaman
Our model59%22%18%
Market60%21%19%
Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Geoje Citizen FC (rating 1545 vs 1461).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Geoje Citizen FCHaman
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.21.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/56/11%33/22/44%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 6.31.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.24.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Geoje Citizen FC 0–1–0 Haman

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26
South Korea K4 League
Haman2-2
HT 1-2
Geoje Citizen FC

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGeoje Citizen FCHaman
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 3-0 W 2-0 W
Jinju Citizen FC 0-0 D 1-4 L
Jecheon Citizen 2-0 W 1-3 L
Seosan Pioneer 1-0 W 2-1 W
Jincheon HR 1-4 L 3-1 W
Pyeongchang United 3-1 W 2-3 L
Namyangju FC 0-1 L 1-2 L
Geumsan Insam 1-2 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 3 L 3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Geoje Citizen FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Geoje Citizen FC

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
1-0 3-0 71 W
03/10 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-0 24 D
19/09 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
1-0 2-0 82 W
12/09 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-0 64 W
25/07 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
– 1-4 –– L
11/07 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
1-1 3-1 44 W
07/06 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-1 94 L
31/05 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
1-1 1-2 52 L
24/05 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
2-1 4-2 102 W
17/05 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-1 3-2 64 W

Haman

WLWLLWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
0-1 0-2 95 L
03/10 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-3 68 L
06/09 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
0-1 3-1 23 W
29/08 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
1-0 2-3 35 L
26/07 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
– 1-0 –– W
12/07 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-2 23 L
27/06 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-3 12 L
06/06 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-0 57 W
31/05 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-2 1-4 37 L
23/05 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-1 50 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Geoje Citizen FC vs Haman?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Geoje Citizen FC win (60%). Probabilities: Geoje Citizen FC 60%, draw 22%, Haman 19%.

How many goals are expected in Geoje Citizen FC vs Haman?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Geoje Citizen FC 2.12 · Haman 1.12), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Geoje Citizen FC vs Haman?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.