Prediction: Geumsan Insam vs Namyangju FC
Team pages: Geumsan Insam · Namyangju FC
- Namyangju FC1-1Geumsan Insam
| Geumsan Insam | Draw | Namyangju FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 28% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Namyangju FC (rating 1502 vs 1566).
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Geumsan Insam | Namyangju FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 56/22/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.1 | 1.7 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Geumsan Insam 0–1–0 Namyangju FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 South Korea K4 League | Namyangju FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Geumsan Insam |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Geumsan Insam | Namyangju FC |
|---|---|---|
| Gijang United | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Pyeongtaek Citizen FC | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Jinju Citizen FC | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Seosan Pioneer | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Seoul Jungnang FC | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Jecheon Citizen | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Haman | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Geoje Citizen FC | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Sejong SA | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 3 L | 7 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Geumsan Insam
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Gijang United South Korea K4 League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 30/08 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 23/08 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 07/06 | Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Sejong SA South Korea K4 League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
Namyangju FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Gijang United South Korea K4 League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 13/09 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 12/07 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Sejong SA South Korea K4 League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Geumsan Insam vs Namyangju FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Geumsan Insam win (42%). Probabilities: Geumsan Insam 42%, draw 27%, Namyangju FC 31%.
How many goals are expected in Geumsan Insam vs Namyangju FC?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Geumsan Insam 1.52 · Namyangju FC 1.26), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Geumsan Insam vs Namyangju FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.