Football · South Korea K4 League · 11/10, 07:00

Prediction: Seosan Pioneer vs Jincheon HR

Team pages: Seosan Pioneer · Jincheon HR

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
Seosan Pioneer1.14
Jincheon HR2.07
1X2
20% 22% 58%
Seosan Pioneer Draw Jincheon HR
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Seosan Pioneer 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLLLLD
Jincheon HR 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLWDLWWLDW
Head-to-head
Seosan Pioneer 0–1 Jincheon HR (1 last)
  • Jincheon HR3-0Seosan Pioneer
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Seosan Pioneer 1401 · Jincheon HR 1541
Seosan PioneerDrawJincheon HR
Our model19%23%58%
Market20%22%58%
Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jincheon HR (rating 1401 vs 1541).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Seosan PioneerJincheon HR
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.92.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.71 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)11/56/33%56/33/11%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.92.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.13.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Seosan Pioneer 0–0–1 Jincheon HR

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/26
South Korea K4 League
Jincheon HR3-0
HT 1-0
Seosan Pioneer

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSeosan PioneerJincheon HR
Pyeongchang United 1-1 D 1-0 W
Geoje Citizen FC 0-1 L 4-1 W
Sejong SA 1-2 L 1-4 L
Namyangju FC 1-2 L 2-2 D
Gijang United 0-2 L 2-0 W
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 5-0 W 0-1 L
Jinju Citizen FC 0-1 L 6-2 W
Seoul Jungnang FC 2-4 L 4-0 W
Jecheon Citizen 2-3 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 7 L 5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Jincheon HR (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Seosan Pioneer

LLLWLLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-1 54 D
12/09 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-1 24 L
06/09 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
1-1 1-2 65 L
29/08 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
0-2 1-2 74 L
23/08 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
0-2 0-3 83 L
25/07 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
– 0-2 –– L
12/07 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
3-0 5-0 52 W
27/06 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-1 02 L
06/06 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-4 35 L
31/05 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
0-1 2-3 83 L

Jincheon HR

WLWDLWWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
2-0 4-0 43 W
12/09 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
1-1 1-1 54 D
06/09 Haman
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-3 63 L
22/08 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-0 75 W
25/07 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
– 4-1 –– W
11/07 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-4 24 L
28/06 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
1-0 2-2 93 D
07/06 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-0 46 W
30/05 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-1 85 L
23/05 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
3-1 6-2 42 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Seosan Pioneer vs Jincheon HR?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Jincheon HR win (58%). Probabilities: Seosan Pioneer 20%, draw 22%, Jincheon HR 58%.

How many goals are expected in Seosan Pioneer vs Jincheon HR?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Seosan Pioneer 1.14 · Jincheon HR 2.07), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Seosan Pioneer vs Jincheon HR?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.