Football · South Korea K4 League · 10/10, 07:00

Prediction: Sejong SA vs Gijang United

Team pages: Sejong SA · Gijang United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.62Total

Sejong SA1.82

Gijang United1.81

1X2

38% 24% 38%

Sejong SA Draw Gijang United

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Sejong SA 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Gijang United 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDLWLWWL

Head-to-head

Sejong SA 1–2 Gijang United (3 last)

Gijang United1-0Sejong SA
Gijang United0-3Sejong SA
Sejong SA1-3Gijang United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sejong SA 1489 · Gijang United 1467

	Sejong SA	Draw	Gijang United
Our model	38%	24%	38%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Gijang United: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sejong SA	Gijang United
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.3	1.5 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.4	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/22/44%	22/22/56%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6	2.2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	2.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.60

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:00 +26’	2.38	3.60	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sejong SA 1–0–2 Gijang United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 South Korea K4 League	Gijang United	1-0 HT 1-0	Sejong SA
09/11/25 South Korea K4 League	Gijang United	0-3 HT 0-0	Sejong SA
12/07/25 South Korea K4 League	Sejong SA	1-3 HT 0-2	Gijang United

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sejong SA	Gijang United
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC	1-7 L	3-2 W
Seosan Pioneer	2-1 W	2-0 W
Jecheon Citizen	4-5 L	1-1 D
Jincheon HR	4-1 W	0-2 L
Pyeongchang United	1-3 L	2-4 L
Namyangju FC	3-0 W	1-2 L
Geumsan Insam	3-2 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Gijang United (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sejong SA

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	0-5	1-7	6	2	L
06/09	Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
23/08	Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League	2-2	4-5	8	0	L
26/07	Haman South Korea K4 League	–	0-1	–	–	L
11/07	Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League	1-0	4-1	6	4	W
28/06	Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League	1-2	1-3	5	3	L
30/05	Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League	2-0	3-0	0	1	W
23/05	Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League	1-2	3-2	8	3	W
17/05	Gijang United South Korea K4 League	0-1	0-1	14	3	L
10/05	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	2-0	2-2	4	8	D

Gijang United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League	0-2	1-2	7	0	L
13/09	Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League	2-0	3-1	0	2	W
29/08	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	1-0	3-2	5	1	W
22/08	Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	1-1	1-4	5	3	L
25/07	Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/07	Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League	0-1	0-3	8	3	L
28/06	Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League	0-1	1-1	1	2	D
07/06	Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
30/05	Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League	0-3	2-4	2	1	L
24/05	Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	1-2	2-4	2	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sejong SA vs Gijang United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sejong SA win (38%). Probabilities: Sejong SA 38%, draw 24%, Gijang United 38%.

How many goals are expected in Sejong SA vs Gijang United?

The model expects 3.62 goals (Sejong SA 1.82 · Gijang United 1.81), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sejong SA vs Gijang United?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.