Football · Georgia Erovnuli Liga · 02/11, 16:00

Prediction: Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dila Gori

Team pages: Torpedo Kutaisi · Dila Gori

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

Torpedo Kutaisi1.59

Dila Gori1.52

1X2

38% 26% 35%

Torpedo Kutaisi Draw Dila Gori

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Torpedo Kutaisi 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDLDDWLDLL

Dila Gori 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWWDLWLLL

Head-to-head

Torpedo Kutaisi 2–1–3 Dila Gori (6 last)

Dila Gori2-2Torpedo Kutaisi
Dila Gori0-1Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi2-1Dila Gori
Dila Gori1-0Torpedo Kutaisi
Dila Gori1-0Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi0-1Dila Gori

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Torpedo Kutaisi 1475 · Dila Gori 1473

	Torpedo Kutaisi	Draw	Dila Gori
Our model	39%	26%	36%
Market	38%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Dila Gori: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Torpedo Kutaisi	Dila Gori
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.1	1.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.3	1.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.40

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.35▲	Bet365 2.35
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.75 → 2.55▼	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:04 +43’	2.20	3.40	2.75
22:59 +2’	2.35▲	3.40	2.55▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Torpedo Kutaisi 2–1–3 Dila Gori

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dila Gori	2-2 HT 1-0	Torpedo Kutaisi
27/06/26 Georgia Super Cup	Dila Gori	0-1 HT 0-0	Torpedo Kutaisi
15/05/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Torpedo Kutaisi	2-1 HT 0-0	Dila Gori
16/03/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dila Gori	1-0 HT 1-0	Torpedo Kutaisi
03/11/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dila Gori	1-0 HT 0-0	Torpedo Kutaisi
23/08/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Torpedo Kutaisi	0-1 HT 0-0	Dila Gori

Standings · Georgia Erovnuli Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dinamo Batumi	30	16	8	6	53	37	56
2	FC Iberia 1999	31	17	5	9	45	33	56
3	Dinamo Tbilisi	31	15	10	6	50	32	55
4	FC Rustavi	30	15	7	8	36	26	52
5	Dila Gori	30	12	4	14	40	37	40
6	Samgurali	31	11	6	14	43	55	39
7	Torpedo Kutaisi	30	9	10	11	48	41	37
8	FC Gagra	30	6	12	12	26	43	30
9	FC Spaeri	31	5	13	13	38	49	28
10	Meshakhte Tkibuli	30	3	11	16	23	49	20

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Torpedo Kutaisi	Dila Gori
FC Iberia 1999	2-3 L	0-2 L
FC Rustavi	0-1 L	1-3 L
FC Spaeri	3-3 D	4-1 W
Dinamo Batumi	2-3 L	2-2 D
Samgurali	3-2 W	3-1 W
FC Gagra	1-1 D	1-0 W
Dinamo Tbilisi	1-1 D	1-2 L
Meshakhte Tkibuli	0-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Dila Gori (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Torpedo Kutaisi

WDLDDWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-3	2-3	5	1	L
18/10	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
10/10	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	3-3	8	6	D
20/09	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	2-3	8	9	L
14/09	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	3-2	2	3	W
10/09	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
06/09	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
31/08	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
22/08	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	2-2	4	4	D
15/08	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	3-1	4-3	10	4	W

Dila Gori

DLWWDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-2	4	7	L
19/10	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
10/10	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-2	1-3	1	6	L
21/09	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	4-1	4-1	4	1	W
17/09	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-2	4	10	L
13/09	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
09/09	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-0	3-1	4	3	W
05/09	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
31/08	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
22/08	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	2-2	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dila Gori?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Torpedo Kutaisi win (38%). Probabilities: Torpedo Kutaisi 38%, draw 26%, Dila Gori 35%.

How many goals are expected in Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dila Gori?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Torpedo Kutaisi 1.59 · Dila Gori 1.52), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dila Gori?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.