Football · Georgia Erovnuli Liga · 07/11, 11:30

Prediction: Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Torpedo Kutaisi

Team pages: Meshakhte Tkibuli · Torpedo Kutaisi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Meshakhte Tkibuli1.44

Torpedo Kutaisi1.4

1X2

37% 27% 35%

Meshakhte Tkibuli Draw Torpedo Kutaisi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Meshakhte Tkibuli 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWDDLDLLWL

Torpedo Kutaisi 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLDDWLDLLW

Head-to-head

Meshakhte Tkibuli 1–2 Torpedo Kutaisi (3 last)

Torpedo Kutaisi0-2Meshakhte Tkibuli
Meshakhte Tkibuli1-4Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi3-0Meshakhte Tkibuli

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torpedo Kutaisi (rating 1446 vs 1494).
H2H favours Torpedo Kutaisi: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Meshakhte Tkibuli	Torpedo Kutaisi
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.1	1.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.2	2.4 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.83

Under 2.51.99

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.28 → 4.37▲	Pinn 4.37
X	3.55 → 3.60▲	Pinn 3.60
2	1.76 → 1.77▲	Pinn 1.77

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:46 +30’	4.28	3.55	1.76
11:01 +7’	4.37▲	3.60▲	1.77▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Meshakhte Tkibuli 1–0–2 Torpedo Kutaisi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/08/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Torpedo Kutaisi	0-2 HT 0-0	Meshakhte Tkibuli
20/05/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Meshakhte Tkibuli	1-4 HT 0-0	Torpedo Kutaisi
03/04/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Torpedo Kutaisi	3-0 HT 1-0	Meshakhte Tkibuli

Standings · Georgia Erovnuli Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dinamo Batumi	31	17	8	6	54	37	59
2	FC Iberia 1999	31	17	5	9	45	33	56
3	Dinamo Tbilisi	31	15	10	6	50	32	55
4	FC Rustavi	31	15	8	8	38	28	53
5	Torpedo Kutaisi	32	11	10	11	53	44	43
6	Dila Gori	31	12	4	15	41	39	40
7	Samgurali	31	11	6	14	43	55	39
8	FC Gagra	31	6	13	12	28	45	31
9	FC Spaeri	31	5	13	13	38	49	28
10	Meshakhte Tkibuli	32	3	11	18	25	53	20

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Meshakhte Tkibuli	Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Batumi	0-1 L	2-3 L
Dila Gori	2-1 W	2-1 W
Samgurali	0-2 L	3-2 W
FC Iberia 1999	1-2 L	2-3 L
FC Gagra	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Rustavi	0-1 L	0-1 L
Dinamo Tbilisi	0-0 D	1-1 D
FC Spaeri	2-2 D	3-3 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 4 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Torpedo Kutaisi (1 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Meshakhte Tkibuli

LWDDLDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
24/10	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	2-1	6	7	W
17/10	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
10/10	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-2	1-2	2	6	L
19/09	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
14/09	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
10/09	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
05/09	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	2-2	3	3	D
31/08	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
21/08	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-1	1	3	L

Torpedo Kutaisi

DLDDWLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
26/10	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-3	2-3	5	1	L
18/10	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
10/10	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	3-3	8	6	D
20/09	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	2-3	8	9	L
14/09	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	3-2	2	3	W
10/09	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
06/09	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
31/08	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
22/08	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	2-2	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Meshakhte Tkibuli win (37%). Probabilities: Meshakhte Tkibuli 37%, draw 27%, Torpedo Kutaisi 35%.

How many goals are expected in Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Meshakhte Tkibuli 1.44 · Torpedo Kutaisi 1.4), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.