Football · Georgia Erovnuli Liga · 01/11, 16:00

Prediction: Dinamo Batumi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli

Team pages: Dinamo Batumi · Meshakhte Tkibuli

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Dinamo Batumi2.18

Meshakhte Tkibuli0.55

1X2

75% 17% 8%

Dinamo Batumi Draw Meshakhte Tkibuli

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Dinamo Batumi 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDWWWW

Meshakhte Tkibuli 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDDLDLLW

Head-to-head

Dinamo Batumi 3–1–0 Meshakhte Tkibuli (4 last)

Meshakhte Tkibuli0-1Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi2-1Meshakhte Tkibuli
Meshakhte Tkibuli0-0Dinamo Batumi
Meshakhte Tkibuli1-2Dinamo Batumi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dinamo Batumi 1618 · Meshakhte Tkibuli 1470

	Dinamo Batumi	Draw	Meshakhte Tkibuli
Our model	74%	19%	7%
Market	76%	15%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Batumi (rating 1618 vs 1470).
H2H favours Dinamo Batumi: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dinamo Batumi	Meshakhte Tkibuli
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.5	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.2	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.2	1.7 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.3	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.18

X6.00

210.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.82

2 (+2)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 7 moves · last 12:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.18	Bet365 1.18
X	6.00 → 6.00	Pinn 7.19
2	10.00 → 12.00▲	Pinn 19.39 ★

See the full journey (7)

Bet365 margin 9.7% Pinnacle margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:13 +28’	1.18	6.00	10.00
07:54 +28’	1.27▲	5.25▼	7.50▼
12:32 +12’	1.33▲	4.75▼	6.50▼
07:00 +6’	1.40▲	4.50▼	5.75▼
04:09 +2’	1.33▼	4.75▲	7.50▲
06:58 +17’	1.30▼	4.75	8.50▲
12:17 +3’	1.18▼	6.00▲	12.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:32 +38’	1.21	5.58	12.24
12:01 +19’	1.13▼	6.95▲	18.00▲
14:04 +24’	1.14▲	7.19▲	19.39▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dinamo Batumi 3–1–0 Meshakhte Tkibuli

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/08/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Meshakhte Tkibuli	0-1 HT 0-1	Dinamo Batumi
16/05/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dinamo Batumi	2-1 HT 0-1	Meshakhte Tkibuli
16/03/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Meshakhte Tkibuli	0-0 HT 0-0	Dinamo Batumi
14/08/24 Georgia Cup	Meshakhte Tkibuli	1-2 HT 0-1	Dinamo Batumi

Standings · Georgia Erovnuli Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dinamo Batumi	30	16	8	6	53	37	56
2	FC Iberia 1999	31	17	5	9	45	33	56
3	Dinamo Tbilisi	31	15	10	6	50	32	55
4	FC Rustavi	30	15	7	8	36	26	52
5	Dila Gori	30	12	4	14	40	37	40
6	Samgurali	31	11	6	14	43	55	39
7	Torpedo Kutaisi	30	9	10	11	48	41	37
8	FC Gagra	30	6	12	12	26	43	30
9	FC Spaeri	31	5	13	13	38	49	28
10	Meshakhte Tkibuli	30	3	11	16	23	49	20

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dinamo Batumi	Meshakhte Tkibuli
Samgurali	3-0 W	0-2 L
FC Gagra	3-1 W	1-1 D
Dinamo Tbilisi	1-0 W	0-0 D
Torpedo Kutaisi	3-2 W	2-0 W
Dila Gori	2-2 D	2-1 W
FC Iberia 1999	2-0 W	1-2 L
FC Rustavi	1-0 W	0-1 L
FC Spaeri	3-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	7 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Dinamo Batumi (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dinamo Batumi

WWWWWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	3-0	5	0	W
17/10	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-0	3-1	2	6	W
11/10	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
20/09	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	3-2	9	9	W
13/09	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	2-2	7	5	D
09/09	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
04/09	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
30/08	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	3-0	3-0	3	5	W
21/08	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
16/08	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	3-0	4-0	5	4	W

Meshakhte Tkibuli

LLWDDLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	2-1	6	7	W
17/10	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
10/10	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-2	1-2	2	6	L
19/09	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
14/09	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
10/09	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
05/09	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	2-2	3	3	D
31/08	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
21/08	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-1	1	3	L
16/08	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-2	1-3	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dinamo Batumi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dinamo Batumi win (75%). Probabilities: Dinamo Batumi 75%, draw 17%, Meshakhte Tkibuli 8%.

How many goals are expected in Dinamo Batumi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Dinamo Batumi 2.18 · Meshakhte Tkibuli 0.55), with a 59% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Dinamo Batumi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.