Football · England Northern Premier League · 10/11, 20:45

Prediction: Warrington Rylands vs Guiseley

Team pages: Warrington Rylands · Guiseley

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Warrington Rylands1.48

Guiseley1.47

1X2

38% 25% 37%

Warrington Rylands Draw Guiseley

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Warrington Rylands 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWDLWWW

Guiseley 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Warrington Rylands 2–2–2 Guiseley (6 last)

Warrington Rylands1-3Guiseley
Warrington Rylands1-0Guiseley
Guiseley0-1Warrington Rylands
Warrington Rylands1-4Guiseley
Warrington Rylands1-1Guiseley
Guiseley2-2Warrington Rylands

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Warrington Rylands 1559 · Guiseley 1618

	Warrington Rylands	Draw	Guiseley
Our model	37%	27%	36%
Market	38%	24%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guiseley (rating 1559 vs 1618).
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Warrington Rylands	Guiseley
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.3	2.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	56/22/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.4	2.9 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.70

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:52 +6’	2.35	3.70	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Warrington Rylands 2–2–2 Guiseley

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/10/26 England FA Trophy	Warrington Rylands	1-3	Guiseley
17/01/26 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Rylands	1-0 HT 1-0	Guiseley
07/10/25 England Northern Premier League	Guiseley	0-1 HT 0-0	Warrington Rylands
30/08/25 England FA Cup Qualification	Warrington Rylands	1-4 HT 1-2	Guiseley
05/04/25 England Northern Premier League	Warrington Rylands	1-1 HT 0-1	Guiseley
30/11/24 England Northern Premier League	Guiseley	2-2	Warrington Rylands

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cleethorpes Town	16	11	3	2	34	9	36
2	Redcar Athletic	17	10	5	2	37	19	35
3	Curzon Ashton	17	11	1	5	31	18	34
4	Guiseley	15	10	2	3	33	15	32
5	Gainsborough	17	9	2	6	33	24	29
6	Warrington Town	17	8	5	4	31	24	29
7	Warrington Rylands	16	9	2	5	30	23	29
8	Avro FC	17	9	2	6	39	33	29
9	Workington	17	8	3	6	28	27	27
10	Bury	15	8	2	5	31	18	26
11	Alfreton Town	17	7	2	8	23	22	23
12	Emley AFC	18	6	5	7	21	29	23
13	Quorn	16	5	6	5	31	32	21
14	Lancaster City	18	6	3	9	20	31	21
15	Whitby	17	6	1	10	23	44	19
16	Hyde Utd	17	5	3	9	19	32	18
17	Ashton Utd	17	4	5	8	19	21	17
18	Leek Town	17	4	5	8	34	39	17
19	Stockton Town	17	4	3	10	23	29	15
20	Ilkeston	17	4	1	12	13	37	13
21	FC United of Manchester	16	2	6	8	20	27	12
22	Bamber Bridge	17	2	5	10	18	38	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Warrington Rylands	Guiseley
Cleethorpes Town	0-3 L	2-1 W
Leek Town	3-3 D	4-1 W
Emley AFC	4-1 W	4-0 W
Ilkeston	1-0 W	2-0 W
Stockton Town	1-1 D	3-0 W
Alfreton Town	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Guiseley (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Warrington Rylands

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Gainsborough England Northern Premier League	3-1	3-1	2	6	W
31/10	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	2-1	2-1	8	4	W
13/10	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	2-0	5-1	1	3	W
10/10	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-3	4	6	L
06/10	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	1-3	3-3	6	2	D
03/10	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	2-0	4-1	1	2	W
29/09	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
12/09	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
31/08	Bamber Bridge England Northern Premier League	2-0	3-1	5	7	W
29/08	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	2-1	3	6	W

Guiseley

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/11	Leek Town England Northern Premier League	1-1	4-1	4	0	W
31/10	Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League	0-2	2-2	4	6	D
20/10	Cleethorpes Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
10/10	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	2	6	W
06/10	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	1-0	2-0	7	7	W
29/09	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
12/09	Quorn England Northern Premier League	–	4-1	–	–	W
31/08	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	2-0	4-0	4	5	W
28/08	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
25/08	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	3-0	10	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Warrington Rylands vs Guiseley?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Warrington Rylands win (38%). Probabilities: Warrington Rylands 38%, draw 25%, Guiseley 37%.

How many goals are expected in Warrington Rylands vs Guiseley?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Warrington Rylands 1.48 · Guiseley 1.47), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Warrington Rylands vs Guiseley?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.