Football · England Northern Premier League · 17/11, 20:45

Prediction: Cleethorpes Town vs FC United of Manchester

Team pages: Cleethorpes Town · FC United of Manchester

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

Cleethorpes Town1.81

FC United of Manchester1.1

1X2

53% 24% 23%

Cleethorpes Town Draw FC United of Manchester

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Cleethorpes Town 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWWLWWLL

FC United of Manchester 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDDWDDLW

Head-to-head

Cleethorpes Town 1–1 FC United of Manchester (2 last)

Cleethorpes Town2-1FC United of Manchester
FC United of Manchester2-0Cleethorpes Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cleethorpes Town 1530 · FC United of Manchester 1476

	Cleethorpes Town	Draw	FC United of Manchester
Our model	53%	25%	22%
Market	54%	23%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cleethorpes Town (rating 1530 vs 1476).
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cleethorpes Town	FC United of Manchester
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.8	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/38/25%	43/29/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.5	2.3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.90

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:01 +26’	1.67	3.90	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cleethorpes Town 1–0–1 FC United of Manchester

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/12/25 England Northern Premier League	Cleethorpes Town	2-1	FC United of Manchester
06/09/25 England Northern Premier League	FC United of Manchester	2-0 HT 0-0	Cleethorpes Town

Standings · England Northern Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Redcar Athletic	19	12	5	2	43	19	41
2	Curzon Ashton	18	12	1	5	32	18	37
3	Cleethorpes Town	18	11	3	4	35	13	36
4	Guiseley	16	10	3	3	34	16	33
5	Warrington Rylands	18	10	3	5	36	25	33
6	Avro FC	18	10	2	6	42	34	32
7	Workington	18	9	3	6	31	27	30
8	Bury	16	9	2	5	32	18	29
9	Gainsborough	18	9	2	7	34	27	29
10	Warrington Town	18	8	5	5	31	26	29
11	Lancaster City	19	7	3	9	23	32	24
12	Alfreton Town	18	7	2	9	23	25	23
13	Emley AFC	18	6	5	7	21	29	23
14	Quorn	17	5	6	6	33	35	21
15	Stockton Town	19	6	3	10	29	32	21
16	Whitby	19	6	1	12	25	52	19
17	Hyde Utd	17	5	3	9	19	32	18
18	Ashton Utd	17	4	5	8	19	21	17
19	Leek Town	17	4	5	8	34	39	17
20	FC United of Manchester	17	3	6	8	22	27	15
21	Ilkeston	19	4	1	14	13	40	13
22	Bamber Bridge	18	2	5	11	18	42	11

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cleethorpes Town	FC United of Manchester
Stockton Town	1-3 L	2-2 D
Lancaster City	2-0 W	0-0 D
Avro FC	1-0 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cleethorpes Town (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cleethorpes Town

WDDWWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-3	8	8	L
10/11	Bury England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
07/11	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	–	2-0	–	–	W
31/10	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W
20/10	Guiseley England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
10/10	Warrington Rylands England Northern Premier League	1-0	3-0	7	6	W
06/10	Hyde Utd England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
03/10	Workington England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
22/09	Redcar Athletic England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-1	7	2	D
12/09	Ashton Utd England Northern Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	2	W

FC United of Manchester

LWLDDWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/11	Ilkeston England Northern Premier League	–	2-0	–	–	W
03/11	Curzon Ashton England Northern Premier League	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
31/10	Lancaster City England Northern Premier League	–	0-0	–	–	D
27/10	Quorn England Northern Premier League	1-0	1-1	10	2	D
24/10	Whitby England Northern Premier League	2-0	4-2	8	2	W
13/10	Emley AFC England Northern Premier League	0-1	1-1	6	0	D
10/10	Stockton Town England Northern Premier League	–	2-2	–	–	D
06/10	Alfreton Town England Northern Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
12/09	Warrington Town England Northern Premier League	1-0	4-1	5	5	W
31/08	Avro FC England Northern Premier League	1-1	3-4	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cleethorpes Town vs FC United of Manchester?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cleethorpes Town win (53%). Probabilities: Cleethorpes Town 53%, draw 24%, FC United of Manchester 23%.

How many goals are expected in Cleethorpes Town vs FC United of Manchester?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Cleethorpes Town 1.81 · FC United of Manchester 1.1), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Cleethorpes Town vs FC United of Manchester?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.