Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 11/11, 14:30

Prediction: RCS Onhaye vs RSC Habay

Team pages: RCS Onhaye · RSC Habay

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

RCS Onhaye1.39

RSC Habay1.31

1X2

38% 27% 35%

RCS Onhaye Draw RSC Habay

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

RCS Onhaye 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLLDLW

RSC Habay 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWDLDWLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RCS Onhaye 1458 · RSC Habay 1481

	RCS Onhaye	Draw	RSC Habay
Our model	38%	28%	34%
Market	39%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RCS Onhaye	RSC Habay
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2	0.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.9	2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.50

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 14:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.49 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.73

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
01:56 +6’	2.30	3.50	2.55
12:00 +2’	2.45▲	3.50	2.38▼
10:51 +10’	2.38▼	3.50	2.45▲
14:00 +1’	2.30▼	3.50	2.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:56 +6’	2.55	3.26	2.59
11:57 +4’	2.74▲	3.26	2.43▼
08:56 +5’	2.88▲	3.26	2.32▼
10:53 +8’	2.48▼	3.26	2.67▲
12:58 +3’	2.53▲	3.31▲	2.67
13:50 +11’	2.49▼	3.31	2.73▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	12	8	1	3	20	11	25
2	Union Rochefortoise	12	6	4	2	23	11	22
3	Union Saint Gilloise II	12	6	3	3	22	15	21
4	Tubize	12	6	3	3	18	13	21
5	RAEC Mons	12	6	2	4	28	20	20
6	RWD Molenbeek	12	6	2	4	16	14	20
7	ROC Charleroi	12	4	4	4	15	23	16
8	Standard Liege II	12	4	2	6	14	12	14
9	Sporting Charleroi U23	12	3	5	4	13	14	14
10	RSC Habay	11	3	3	5	10	14	12
11	RCS Onhaye	11	3	1	7	12	22	10
12	FC Flenu	12	0	2	10	11	33	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RCS Onhaye	RSC Habay
FC Flenu	1-0 W	2-1 W
Tubize	1-2 L	0-1 L
Union Saint Gilloise II	0-0 D	2-1 W
Standard Liege II	1-4 L	0-0 D
Sporting Charleroi U23	2-4 L	0-0 D
RFC Meux	1-2 L	1-0 W
RAEC Mons	2-5 L	2-2 D
Union Rochefortoise	2-1 W	2-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RSC Habay (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RCS Onhaye

WLWLLLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
31/10	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
25/10	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	8	7	D
11/10	Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	1-4	1	3	L
04/10	Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-4	6	5	L
26/09	RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
20/09	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	2-5	2	7	L
12/09	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
02/09	FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	2-1	7	4	W

RSC Habay

LLDWDLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
31/10	ROC Charleroi Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
25/10	RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
11/10	RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
30/09	Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
20/09	FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-1	5	3	W
13/09	Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	11	2	D
05/09	Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
29/08	Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	2-4	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RCS Onhaye vs RSC Habay?

According to our model, the most likely result is a RCS Onhaye win (38%). Probabilities: RCS Onhaye 38%, draw 27%, RSC Habay 35%.

How many goals are expected in RCS Onhaye vs RSC Habay?

The model expects 2.69 goals (RCS Onhaye 1.39 · RSC Habay 1.31), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in RCS Onhaye vs RSC Habay?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.