Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 15/11, 15:00

Prediction: KVV Zelzate vs Belisia Bilzen SV

Team pages: KVV Zelzate · Belisia Bilzen SV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.84Total

KVV Zelzate1.77

Belisia Bilzen SV2.07

1X2

32% 23% 44%

KVV Zelzate Draw Belisia Bilzen SV

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

KVV Zelzate 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDDLLLWW

Belisia Bilzen SV 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLDWLWW

Head-to-head

KVV Zelzate 0–1–1 Belisia Bilzen SV (2 last)

Belisia Bilzen SV5-0KVV Zelzate
KVV Zelzate3-3Belisia Bilzen SV

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KVV Zelzate 1425 · Belisia Bilzen SV 1532

	KVV Zelzate	Draw	Belisia Bilzen SV
Our model	33%	23%	45%
Market	32%	24%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belisia Bilzen SV (rating 1425 vs 1532).
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KVV Zelzate	Belisia Bilzen SV
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.5	2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.8	2.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.75

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.02

Under 3.251.77

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.88▲	Pinn 3.00 ★
X	3.75 → 3.70▼	Bet365 3.70
2	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:05 +10’	2.80	3.75	2.05
16:10 +3’	2.88▲	3.70▼	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:15 +4’	2.89	3.58	2.18
21:25 +3’	3.00▲	3.62▲	2.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KVV Zelzate 0–1–1 Belisia Bilzen SV

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	Belisia Bilzen SV	5-0 HT 2-0	KVV Zelzate
23/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	KVV Zelzate	3-3 HT 0-1	Belisia Bilzen SV

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	12	8	1	3	20	11	25
2	Union Rochefortoise	12	6	4	2	23	11	22
3	Union Saint Gilloise II	12	6	3	3	22	15	21
4	Tubize	12	6	3	3	18	13	21
5	RAEC Mons	12	6	2	4	28	20	20
6	RWD Molenbeek	12	6	2	4	16	14	20
7	ROC Charleroi	12	4	4	4	15	23	16
8	Standard Liege II	12	4	2	6	14	12	14
9	Sporting Charleroi U23	12	3	5	4	13	14	14
10	RCS Onhaye	12	4	1	7	13	22	13
11	RSC Habay	12	3	3	6	10	15	12
12	FC Flenu	12	0	2	10	11	33	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KVV Zelzate	Belisia Bilzen SV
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	2-1 W	4-0 W
KSK Heist	1-5 L	3-1 W
RFC Mandel Utd	1-3 L	0-1 L
Hoogstraten VV	1-4 L	1-0 W
KVV Thes Sport	1-1 D	0-3 L
Royal Knokke	0-0 D	2-3 L
KVC Houtvenne	0-3 L	3-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Belisia Bilzen SV (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KVV Zelzate

LLLDDLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	4-1	5	0	W
31/10	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-1	7	3	W
24/10	KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	1-5	8	1	L
17/10	RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division	1-3	1-3	6	3	L
10/10	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-4	8	1	L
03/10	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
30/09	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
20/09	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-3	13	5	L
13/09	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	1-3	3-4	7	2	L
06/09	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-3	4	6	L

Belisia Bilzen SV

LWLWLDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	4-0	3	2	W
31/10	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
23/10	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-3	10	3	L
17/10	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	2-2	4-3	5	2	W
11/10	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	2-2	6	9	D
03/10	RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
30/09	KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
20/09	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-3	9	7	L
13/09	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
06/09	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	3-4	2	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KVV Zelzate vs Belisia Bilzen SV?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Belisia Bilzen SV win (44%). Probabilities: KVV Zelzate 32%, draw 23%, Belisia Bilzen SV 44%.

How many goals are expected in KVV Zelzate vs Belisia Bilzen SV?

The model expects 3.84 goals (KVV Zelzate 1.77 · Belisia Bilzen SV 2.07), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KVV Zelzate vs Belisia Bilzen SV?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.