Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 15/11, 15:00

Prediction: Royal Knokke vs Tienen

Team pages: Royal Knokke · Tienen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Royal Knokke1.61

Tienen1.32

1X2

44% 26% 31%

Royal Knokke Draw Tienen

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Royal Knokke 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLWDWLLLLL

Tienen 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWDDLLLW

Head-to-head

Royal Knokke 5–1–0 Tienen (6 last)

Royal Knokke2-0Tienen
Tienen2-3Royal Knokke
Tienen0-0Royal Knokke
Royal Knokke2-0Tienen
Royal Knokke1-0Tienen
Tienen1-2Royal Knokke

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Royal Knokke 1436 · Tienen 1489

	Royal Knokke	Draw	Tienen
Our model	43%	27%	30%
Market	44%	25%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tienen (rating 1436 vs 1489).
H2H favours Royal Knokke: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Royal Knokke	Tienen
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.8	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.2	1.1 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.60

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
15:59 +16’	2.05	3.60	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Royal Knokke 5–1–0 Tienen

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Belgium First Amateur Division	Royal Knokke	2-0 HT 2-0	Tienen
23/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Tienen	2-3 HT 1-2	Royal Knokke
16/03/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Tienen	0-0 HT 0-0	Royal Knokke
03/11/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	Royal Knokke	2-0 HT 0-0	Tienen
25/02/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	Royal Knokke	1-0 HT 1-0	Tienen
17/12/23 Belgium First Amateur Division	Tienen	1-2 HT 1-2	Royal Knokke

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RFC Meux	12	8	1	3	20	11	25
2	Union Rochefortoise	12	6	4	2	23	11	22
3	Union Saint Gilloise II	12	6	3	3	22	15	21
4	Tubize	12	6	3	3	18	13	21
5	RAEC Mons	12	6	2	4	28	20	20
6	RWD Molenbeek	12	6	2	4	16	14	20
7	ROC Charleroi	12	4	4	4	15	23	16
8	Standard Liege II	12	4	2	6	14	12	14
9	Sporting Charleroi U23	12	3	5	4	13	14	14
10	RCS Onhaye	12	4	1	7	13	22	13
11	RSC Habay	12	3	3	6	10	15	12
12	FC Flenu	12	0	2	10	11	33	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Royal Knokke	Tienen
KRC Harelbeke	0-2 L	4-0 W
SK Roeselare	1-2 L	1-1 D
KFC Merelbeke	0-3 L	0-0 D
OH Leuven II	3-2 W	1-2 L
Belisia Bilzen SV	3-2 W	2-2 D
Cercle Brugge Reserves	1-2 L	3-1 W
KVV Thes Sport	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tienen (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Royal Knokke

LLWDWLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
31/10	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-2	8	6	L
24/10	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
18/10	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
10/10	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
04/10	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	3-1	3-2	2	5	W
30/09	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
20/09	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	3-2	8	7	W
13/09	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	9	5	L

Tienen

LWDWDDLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-1	4	2	W
30/10	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-1	2	0	L
25/10	RFC Mandel Utd Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
21/10	KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-4	3	1	L
11/10	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	2-2	3	9	D
04/10	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	9	8	D
27/09	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	3-1	2	5	W
20/09	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	KRC Harelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	4-0	1	1	W
06/09	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-2	0	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Royal Knokke vs Tienen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Royal Knokke win (44%). Probabilities: Royal Knokke 44%, draw 26%, Tienen 31%.

How many goals are expected in Royal Knokke vs Tienen?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Royal Knokke 1.61 · Tienen 1.32), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Royal Knokke vs Tienen?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.