Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 15/11, 15:00
Prediction: Standard Liege II vs Union Saint Gilloise II
Team pages: Standard Liege II · Union Saint Gilloise II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Standard Liege II1.2
Union Saint Gilloise II1.31
1X2
Standard Liege II
Draw
Union Saint Gilloise II
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Standard Liege II
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Union Saint Gilloise II
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Standard Liege II
2–2–2
Union Saint Gilloise II
(6 last)
- Union Saint Gilloise II1-0Standard Liege II
- Union Saint Gilloise II1-1Standard Liege II
- Standard Liege II1-0Union Saint Gilloise II
- Union Saint Gilloise II2-1Standard Liege II
- Standard Liege II4-2Union Saint Gilloise II
- Standard Liege II1-1Union Saint Gilloise II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Standard Liege II 1481 · Union Saint Gilloise II 1555
| Standard Liege II | Draw | Union Saint Gilloise II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Saint Gilloise II (rating 1481 vs 1555).
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Standard Liege II | Union Saint Gilloise II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 2.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 5.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Standard Liege II 2–2–2 Union Saint Gilloise II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | Union Saint Gilloise II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Standard Liege II |
| 25/04/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | Union Saint Gilloise II | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Standard Liege II |
| 01/03/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | Standard Liege II | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Union Saint Gilloise II |
| 22/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | Union Saint Gilloise II | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Standard Liege II |
| 28/09/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | Standard Liege II | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Union Saint Gilloise II |
| 04/05/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | Standard Liege II | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Union Saint Gilloise II |
Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFC Meux | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Union Rochefortoise | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Union Saint Gilloise II | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 21 |
| 4 | Tubize | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 21 |
| 5 | RAEC Mons | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 20 |
| 6 | RWD Molenbeek | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 20 |
| 7 | ROC Charleroi | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 23 | 16 |
| 8 | Standard Liege II | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 14 |
| 9 | Sporting Charleroi U23 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| 10 | RCS Onhaye | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 13 |
| 11 | RSC Habay | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Flenu | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Standard Liege II | Union Saint Gilloise II |
|---|---|---|
| RAEC Mons | 0-3 L | 4-3 W |
| RWD Molenbeek | 1-1 D | 4-2 W |
| Sporting Charleroi U23 | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| FC Flenu | 1-0 W | 5-2 W |
| RCS Onhaye | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| RSC Habay | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Union Saint Gilloise II (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Standard Liege II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 01/11 | RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 25/10 | Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | RCS Onhaye Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 07/10 | RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-2 | 3-2 | 0 | 10 | W |
| 03/10 | Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Union Saint Gilloise II Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
Union Saint Gilloise II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/10 | RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/10 | RCS Onhaye Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 17/10 | Sporting Charleroi U23 Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 11/10 | FC Flenu Belgium First Amateur Division |
3-0 | 5-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Amateur Division |
3-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 19/09 | Standard Liege II Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | ROC Charleroi Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Standard Liege II vs Union Saint Gilloise II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Saint Gilloise II win (39%). Probabilities: Standard Liege II 34%, draw 27%, Union Saint Gilloise II 39%.
How many goals are expected in Standard Liege II vs Union Saint Gilloise II?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Standard Liege II 1.2 · Union Saint Gilloise II 1.31), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Standard Liege II vs Union Saint Gilloise II?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.