Football · Colombia Primera B · 03/11, 00:10

Prediction: Union Magdalena vs Envigado FC

Team pages: Union Magdalena · Envigado FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Union Magdalena1.36
Envigado FC0.94
1X2
46% 29% 25%
Union Magdalena Draw Envigado FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Union Magdalena 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
LWDWDDDWWD
Envigado FC 4-6-0 (W-D-L)
DDWDDDDWWW
Head-to-head
Union Magdalena 3–2–1 Envigado FC (6 last)
  • Envigado FC0-1Union Magdalena
  • Union Magdalena4-2Envigado FC
  • Union Magdalena3-1Envigado FC
  • Envigado FC2-1Union Magdalena
  • Envigado FC0-0Union Magdalena
  • Union Magdalena1-1Envigado FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Magdalena 1562 · Envigado FC 1526
Union MagdalenaDrawEnvigado FC
Our model45%30%25%
Market47%28%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Union Magdalena: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Union MagdalenaEnvigado FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 11.4 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.70.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.11.6 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.35.6 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Magdalena 3–2–1 Envigado FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/09/26
Colombia Primera B
Envigado FC0-1
HT 0-0
Union Magdalena
09/04/26
Colombia Primera B
Union Magdalena4-2
HT 2-1
Envigado FC
18/10/25
Colombia Primera A
Union Magdalena3-1
HT 1-0
Envigado FC
26/04/25
Colombia Primera A
Envigado FC2-1
HT 1-0
Union Magdalena
31/07/23
Colombia Primera A
Envigado FC0-0
HT 0-0
Union Magdalena
06/02/23
Colombia Primera A
Union Magdalena1-1
HT 0-0
Envigado FC

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Envigado FC 1100 203
2 Boca Juniors De Cali 1010 111
2 Union Magdalena 1010 111
4 Independiente Valle del Cauca 1001 020

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUnion MagdalenaEnvigado FC
Atletico Cali FC 1-0 W 3-0 W
Internacional FC de Palmira 1-0 W 1-1 D
Independiente Valle del Cauca 1-1 D 2-0 W
Itagui Leones 2-2 D 1-1 D
Real San Andres 3-1 W 1-1 D
Real Cartagena 1-1 D 0-0 D
Patriotas FC 2-1 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 3 D 0 L 3 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Envigado FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Magdalena

LWDWDDDWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/10 Boca Juniors De Cali
Colombia Primera B
1-1 1-1 34 D
24/10 Atletico Cali FC
Colombia Primera B
1-0 1-0 74 W
19/10 Internacional FC de Palmira
Colombia Primera B
0-0 1-0 47 W
16/10 Independiente Valle del Cauca
Colombia Primera B
0-1 1-1 31 D
12/10 Itagui Leones
Colombia Primera B
2-0 2-2 41 D
08/10 Boca Juniors De Cali
Colombia Primera B
1-1 1-1 38 D
03/10 Real San Andres
Colombia Primera B
2-1 3-1 35 W
30/09 Real Cartagena
Colombia Primera B
1-1 1-1 53 D
19/09 Patriotas FC
Colombia Primera B
1-1 2-1 49 W
13/09 Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Colombia Primera B
1-1 1-2 52 L

Envigado FC

DDWDDDDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/10 Independiente Valle del Cauca
Colombia Primera B
2-0 2-0 54 W
24/10 Patriotas FC
Colombia Primera B
2-0 2-0 28 W
18/10 Barranquilla FC
Colombia Primera B
1-0 1-0 49 W
15/10 Real San Andres
Colombia Primera B
1-1 1-1 32 D
11/10 Internacional FC de Palmira
Colombia Primera B
0-1 1-1 96 D
06/10 Bogota FC
Colombia Primera B
2-0 3-3 36 D
01/10 Orsomarso
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-0 27 D
27/09 Atletico Cali FC
Colombia Primera B
0-0 3-0 24 W
22/09 Real Cartagena
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-0 29 D
12/09 Itagui Leones
Colombia Primera B
1-0 1-1 76 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Magdalena vs Envigado FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Magdalena win (46%). Probabilities: Union Magdalena 46%, draw 29%, Envigado FC 25%.

How many goals are expected in Union Magdalena vs Envigado FC?

The model expects 2.29 goals (Union Magdalena 1.36 · Envigado FC 0.94), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Magdalena vs Envigado FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.