Football · El Salvador Liga de Ascenso · 15/10, 23:00

Prediction: CD Neo Pipil vs CD Sal y Mar

Team pages: CD Neo Pipil

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

CD Neo Pipil1.16

CD Sal y Mar1.66

1X2

26% 26% 48%

CD Neo Pipil Draw CD Sal y Mar

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Neo Pipil 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLWLW

CD Sal y Mar 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWDWLLLWWL

Head-to-head

CD Neo Pipil 0–1 CD Sal y Mar (1 last)

CD Sal y Mar4-0CD Neo Pipil

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Neo Pipil 1442 · CD Sal y Mar 1521

	CD Neo Pipil	Draw	CD Sal y Mar
Our model	25%	27%	48%
Market	26%	25%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Sal y Mar (rating 1442 vs 1521).
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Neo Pipil	CD Sal y Mar
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.1	1.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	1 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/75/25%	67/33/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.3	3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.60

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
08:48 +14’	3.40	3.60	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Neo Pipil 0–0–1 CD Sal y Mar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/09/26 El Salvador Segunda Division	CD Sal y Mar	4-0 HT 2-0	CD Neo Pipil

Standings · El Salvador Liga de Ascenso · Apertura, Center East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Independiente San Vicente	13	10	2	1	43	11	32
2	CD El Vencedor	13	6	4	3	32	18	22
3	CD Olimpico Litoral	12	6	3	3	28	16	21
4	CD Dragon	11	5	5	1	23	14	20
5	CD San Marcos	12	5	4	3	17	22	19
6	CD Audaz	13	5	3	5	32	34	18
7	CD Sal y Mar	12	5	2	5	19	12	17
8	AD San Rafael	12	3	4	5	21	19	13
9	AD Tenancingo	10	4	1	5	16	24	13
10	AD SESA	13	4	1	8	30	45	13
11	CD Neo Pipil	11	3	1	7	8	22	10
12	Orion FC (Usulutan)	12	1	0	11	13	45	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Neo Pipil	CD Sal y Mar
AD San Rafael	1-0 W	0-1 L
AD SESA	0-4 L	3-4 L
AD Tenancingo	1-0 W	4-0 W
CD Dragon	0-2 L	0-0 D
Orion FC (Usulutan)	0-3 L	3-1 W
CD Audaz	1-2 L	3-1 W
Independiente San Vicente	1-3 L	0-2 L
CD Olimpico Litoral	1-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 6 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CD Sal y Mar (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CD Neo Pipil

LLWLLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	AD San Rafael El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
04/10	AD SESA El Salvador Segunda Division	–	0-4	–	–	L
01/10	AD Tenancingo El Salvador Segunda Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/09	CD Dragon El Salvador Segunda Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
23/09	Orion FC (Usulutan) El Salvador Segunda Division	0-0	0-3	8	3	L
19/09	CD Audaz El Salvador Segunda Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
17/09	Independiente San Vicente El Salvador Segunda Division	1-1	1-3	2	3	L
11/09	CD El Vencedor El Salvador Segunda Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
09/09	CD Sal y Mar El Salvador Segunda Division	0-2	0-4	3	3	L
06/09	CD Olimpico Litoral El Salvador Segunda Division	–	1-3	–	–	L

CD Sal y Mar

WWDWLLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Independiente San Vicente El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	0-2	–	–	L
02/10	Orion FC (Usulutan) El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/09	CD Olimpico Litoral El Salvador Segunda Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
25/09	AD San Rafael El Salvador Segunda Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
22/09	CD San Marcos El Salvador Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
18/09	AD SESA El Salvador Segunda Division	–	3-4	–	–	L
16/09	AD Tenancingo El Salvador Segunda Division	1-0	4-0	8	1	W
13/09	CD Dragon El Salvador Segunda Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
09/09	CD Neo Pipil El Salvador Segunda Division	2-0	4-0	3	3	W
04/09	CD Audaz El Salvador Segunda Division	–	3-1	2	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Neo Pipil vs CD Sal y Mar?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Sal y Mar win (48%). Probabilities: CD Neo Pipil 26%, draw 26%, CD Sal y Mar 48%.

How many goals are expected in CD Neo Pipil vs CD Sal y Mar?

The model expects 2.83 goals (CD Neo Pipil 1.16 · CD Sal y Mar 1.66), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Neo Pipil vs CD Sal y Mar?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.