Football · El Salvador Liga de Ascenso · 24/10, 03:00

Prediction: CD Marte Soyapango vs CD Vendaval

Team pages: CD Marte Soyapango · CD Vendaval

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

CD Marte Soyapango2.07

CD Vendaval0.89

1X2

64% 21% 15%

CD Marte Soyapango Draw CD Vendaval

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Marte Soyapango 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWDLWWW

CD Vendaval 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLDLDL

Head-to-head

CD Marte Soyapango 0–1–1 CD Vendaval (2 last)

CD Vendaval2-1CD Marte Soyapango
CD Marte Soyapango0-0CD Vendaval

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Marte Soyapango 1533 · CD Vendaval 1427

	CD Marte Soyapango	Draw	CD Vendaval
Our model	64%	22%	14%
Market	64%	21%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Marte Soyapango (rating 1533 vs 1427).
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Marte Soyapango	CD Vendaval
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	0.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0	0 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	100/0/0%	0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.5	3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.5	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.33

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
21:32 +7’	1.40	4.33	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Marte Soyapango 0–1–1 CD Vendaval

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 El Salvador Segunda Division	CD Vendaval	2-1	CD Marte Soyapango
09/08/19 Europe Friendlies	CD Marte Soyapango	0-0 HT 0-0	CD Vendaval

Standings · El Salvador Liga de Ascenso · Apertura, Center-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Once Municipal	14	9	2	3	33	20	29
2	AD Izalco	13	8	2	3	21	15	26
3	UES	12	7	3	2	22	15	24
4	CD El Roble	12	7	2	3	14	7	23
5	CD Marte Soyapango	13	6	2	5	22	17	20
6	Nacional FC de Sonsonate	14	5	3	6	14	13	18
7	Once Lobos Chalchuapa	13	5	3	5	16	17	18
8	CD Adet Aruba	14	4	5	5	14	13	17
9	AD Academia BP	14	4	4	6	19	30	16
10	AD Forfut	13	4	2	7	23	25	14
11	CD Vendaval	14	2	3	9	10	27	9
12	CD Fuerte Aguilares	14	1	5	8	14	23	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Marte Soyapango	CD Vendaval
AD Forfut	3-0 W	0-1 L
CD Fuerte Aguilares	4-1 W	0-3 L
AD Academia BP	3-0 W	0-0 D
CD El Roble	0-1 L	0-1 L
CD Adet Aruba	0-0 D	0-1 L
Once Lobos Chalchuapa	3-1 W	1-1 D
AD Izalco	1-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: CD Marte Soyapango (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CD Marte Soyapango

LLLWWDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/10	AD Forfut El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	1-0	3-0	6	4	W
11/10	CD Fuerte Aguilares El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	4-1	–	–	W
04/10	AD Academia BP El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	3-0	–	–	W
02/10	CD El Roble El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	0-1	–	–	L
28/09	CD Adet Aruba El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	0-0	–	–	D
25/09	Nacional FC de Sonsonate El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	2-0	–	–	W
21/09	Once Lobos Chalchuapa El Salvador Segunda Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
16/09	AD Izalco El Salvador Segunda Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	CD Vendaval El Salvador Segunda Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
10/09	AD Forfut El Salvador Segunda Division	–	0-4	3	4	L

CD Vendaval

WLLLLLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	CD El Roble El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	0-1	–	–	L
15/10	AD Academia BP El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
09/10	CD Adet Aruba El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	0-1	–	–	L
02/10	Once Lobos Chalchuapa El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	AD Izalco El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	0-1	1-2	3	2	L
26/09	Once Municipal El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	1-6	–	–	L
22/09	AD Forfut El Salvador Segunda Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
19/09	UES El Salvador Segunda Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
15/09	CD Fuerte Aguilares El Salvador Segunda Division	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
12/09	CD Marte Soyapango El Salvador Segunda Division	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Marte Soyapango vs CD Vendaval?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Marte Soyapango win (64%). Probabilities: CD Marte Soyapango 64%, draw 21%, CD Vendaval 15%.

How many goals are expected in CD Marte Soyapango vs CD Vendaval?

The model expects 2.96 goals (CD Marte Soyapango 2.07 · CD Vendaval 0.89), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Marte Soyapango vs CD Vendaval?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.