Prediction: AD San Rafael vs AD SESA
Team pages: AD San Rafael
- AD SESA2-3AD San Rafael
| AD San Rafael | Draw | AD SESA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 22% | 33% |
| Market | 45% | 23% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AD San Rafael | AD SESA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 2.7 / 3.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0 | 1 / 2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/100/0% | 33/0/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 7 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AD San Rafael 1–0–0 AD SESA
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/26 El Salvador Segunda Division | AD SESA | 2-3 | AD San Rafael |
Standings · El Salvador Liga de Ascenso · Apertura, Center East
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente San Vicente | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 45 | 11 | 35 |
| 2 | CD El Vencedor | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 20 | 22 |
| 3 | CD Olimpico Litoral | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 22 |
| 4 | CD Dragon | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 18 | 22 |
| 5 | CD Sal y Mar | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | CD San Marcos | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 22 | 19 |
| 7 | AD Tenancingo | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 25 | 19 |
| 8 | CD Audaz | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 39 | 18 |
| 9 | AD SESA | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 47 | 16 |
| 10 | CD Neo Pipil | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 16 |
| 11 | AD San Rafael | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 14 |
| 12 | Orion FC (Usulutan) | 13 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 15 | 52 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AD San Rafael | AD SESA |
|---|---|---|
| AD Tenancingo | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| CD Neo Pipil | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Independiente San Vicente | 1-1 D | 0-5 L |
| CD El Vencedor | 1-3 L | 0-9 L |
| CD Sal y Mar | 1-0 W | 4-3 W |
| CD Olimpico Litoral | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Orion FC (Usulutan) | 7-0 W | 7-2 W |
| CD San Marcos | 0-0 D | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: AD San Rafael (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AD San Rafael
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | CD Dragon El Salvador Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/10 | AD Tenancingo El Salvador Liga de Ascenso |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 09/10 | CD Neo Pipil El Salvador Liga de Ascenso |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | Independiente San Vicente El Salvador Segunda Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/09 | CD El Vencedor El Salvador Segunda Division |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/09 | CD Sal y Mar El Salvador Segunda Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/09 | CD Olimpico Litoral El Salvador Segunda Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | Orion FC (Usulutan) El Salvador Segunda Division |
– | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/09 | CD San Marcos El Salvador Segunda Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 13/09 | AD SESA El Salvador Segunda Division |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
AD SESA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Orion FC (Usulutan) El Salvador Liga de Ascenso |
– | 7-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/10 | CD San Marcos El Salvador Liga de Ascenso |
2-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 11/10 | AD Tenancingo El Salvador Liga de Ascenso |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | CD Neo Pipil El Salvador Segunda Division |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/10 | CD Audaz El Salvador Segunda Division |
– | 3-7 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | Independiente San Vicente El Salvador Liga de Ascenso |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 23/09 | CD El Vencedor El Salvador Segunda Division |
0-3 | 0-9 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | CD Sal y Mar El Salvador Segunda Division |
– | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 15/09 | CD Olimpico Litoral El Salvador Segunda Division |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | AD San Rafael El Salvador Segunda Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AD San Rafael vs AD SESA?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AD San Rafael win (45%). Probabilities: AD San Rafael 45%, draw 22%, AD SESA 32%.
How many goals are expected in AD San Rafael vs AD SESA?
The model expects 3.97 goals (AD San Rafael 2.15 · AD SESA 1.82), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in AD San Rafael vs AD SESA?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.