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Football · El Salvador Liga de Ascenso · 16/10, 23:00

Prediction: CD El Vencedor vs Independiente San Vicente

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.46Total
CD El Vencedor1.42
Independiente San Vicente2.04
1X2
26% 24% 51%
CD El Vencedor Draw Independiente San Vicente
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
CD El Vencedor 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WLDLWDWDWW
Independiente San Vicente 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WLWDWWWDWW
Head-to-head
CD El Vencedor 1–3–1 Independiente San Vicente (5 last)
  • Independiente San Vicente4-1CD El Vencedor
  • Independiente San Vicente0-0CD El Vencedor
  • Independiente San Vicente0-0CD El Vencedor
  • Independiente San Vicente1-2CD El Vencedor
  • CD El Vencedor0-0Independiente San Vicente
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD El Vencedor 1543 · Independiente San Vicente 1597
CD El VencedorDrawIndependiente San Vicente
Our model26%23%51%
Market25%24%51%
Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Independiente San Vicente (rating 1543 vs 1597).
  • High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD El VencedorIndependiente San Vicente
Goals for / against (FT)2.8 / 1.33.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.31 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/33/33%0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 43 / 8.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.7 / 04 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD El Vencedor 1–3–1 Independiente San Vicente

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/09/26
El Salvador Segunda Division
Independiente San Vicente4-1CD El Vencedor
26/01/20
El Salvador Clausura
Independiente San Vicente0-0
HT 0-0
CD El Vencedor
26/01/20
El Salvador Clausura
Independiente San Vicente0-0
HT 0-0
CD El Vencedor
06/10/19
El Salvador Apertura
Independiente San Vicente1-2
HT 0-2
CD El Vencedor
04/08/19
El Salvador Apertura
CD El Vencedor0-0
HT 0-0
Independiente San Vicente

Standings · El Salvador Liga de Ascenso · Apertura, Center East

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Independiente San Vicente 131021 431132
2 CD El Vencedor 13643 321822
3 CD Olimpico Litoral 12633 281621
4 CD Dragon 11551 231420
5 CD San Marcos 12543 172219
6 CD Audaz 13535 323418
7 CD Sal y Mar 12525 191217
8 AD San Rafael 12345 211913
9 AD Tenancingo 10415 162413
10 AD SESA 13418 304513
11 CD Neo Pipil 11317 82210
12 Orion FC (Usulutan) 121011 13453

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCD El VencedorIndependiente San Vicente
CD Audaz 3-2 W 2-3 L
Orion FC (Usulutan) 2-0 W 4-0 W
AD San Rafael 3-1 W 1-1 D
CD San Marcos 0-0 D 5-2 W
AD SESA 9-0 W 5-0 W
AD Tenancingo 2-3 L 4-0 W
CD Dragon 1-1 D 2-2 D
CD Neo Pipil 0-2 L 3-1 W
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 2 L 5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Independiente San Vicente (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD El Vencedor

WLDLWDWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/10 CD Audaz
El Salvador Liga de Ascenso
 – 3-2 –– W
11/10 Orion FC (Usulutan)
El Salvador Liga de Ascenso
 – 2-0 –– W
02/10 CD Olimpico Litoral
El Salvador Segunda Division
 – 1-1 –– D
29/09 AD San Rafael
El Salvador Segunda Division
 – 3-1 –– W
25/09 CD San Marcos
El Salvador Liga de Ascenso
 0-0 0-0 45 D
23/09 AD SESA
El Salvador Segunda Division
 3-0 9-0 44 W
20/09 AD Tenancingo
El Salvador Segunda Division
 – 2-3 –– L
17/09 CD Dragon
El Salvador Segunda Division
 0-1 1-1 48 D
11/09 CD Neo Pipil
El Salvador Segunda Division
 – 0-2 –– L
09/09 CD Audaz
El Salvador Segunda Division
 – 7-3 –– W

Independiente San Vicente

WLWDWWWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/10 Orion FC (Usulutan)
El Salvador Liga de Ascenso
 – 4-0 65 W
10/10 CD Sal y Mar
El Salvador Liga de Ascenso
 – 2-0 –– W
03/10 AD San Rafael
El Salvador Segunda Division
 – 1-1 –– D
30/09 CD San Marcos
El Salvador Liga de Ascenso
 – 5-2 –– W
26/09 AD SESA
El Salvador Liga de Ascenso
 – 5-0 –– W
24/09 AD Tenancingo
El Salvador Liga de Ascenso
 – 4-0 –– W
20/09 CD Dragon
El Salvador Segunda Division
 – 2-2 –– D
17/09 CD Neo Pipil
El Salvador Segunda Division
 1-1 3-1 113 W
10/09 CD Audaz
El Salvador Segunda Division
 – 2-3 –– L
08/09 Orion FC (Usulutan)
El Salvador Segunda Division
 – 8-0 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD El Vencedor vs Independiente San Vicente?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Independiente San Vicente win (51%). Probabilities: CD El Vencedor 26%, draw 24%, Independiente San Vicente 51%.

How many goals are expected in CD El Vencedor vs Independiente San Vicente?

The model expects 3.46 goals (CD El Vencedor 1.42 · Independiente San Vicente 2.04), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD El Vencedor vs Independiente San Vicente?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.