Football · El Salvador Liga de Ascenso · 23/10, 20:30

Prediction: CD Olimpico Litoral vs AD Tenancingo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.48Total

CD Olimpico Litoral2.04

AD Tenancingo1.44

1X2

50% 25% 25%

CD Olimpico Litoral Draw AD Tenancingo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Olimpico Litoral 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLDDDL

AD Tenancingo 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDWLLWLLLW

Head-to-head

CD Olimpico Litoral 1–0 AD Tenancingo (1 last)

AD Tenancingo1-4CD Olimpico Litoral

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Olimpico Litoral 1513 · AD Tenancingo 1492

	CD Olimpico Litoral	Draw	AD Tenancingo
Our model	51%	23%	26%
Market	49%	26%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Olimpico Litoral	AD Tenancingo
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.5	1.6 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 1.3	0 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/67/0%	0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 6	2 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.50

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.7%

Time*	1	X	2
22:26 +7’	1.85	3.50	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Olimpico Litoral 1–0–0 AD Tenancingo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/09/26 El Salvador Segunda Division	AD Tenancingo	1-4	CD Olimpico Litoral

Standings · El Salvador Liga de Ascenso · Apertura, Center East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Independiente San Vicente	14	11	2	1	45	11	35
2	CD El Vencedor	14	6	4	4	32	20	22
3	CD Olimpico Litoral	14	6	4	4	30	19	22
4	CD Dragon	14	5	7	2	26	18	22
5	CD Sal y Mar	14	6	2	6	24	13	20
6	CD San Marcos	12	5	4	3	17	22	19
7	AD Tenancingo	12	6	1	5	19	25	19
8	CD Audaz	14	5	3	6	32	39	18
9	AD SESA	14	5	1	8	37	47	16
10	CD Neo Pipil	13	5	1	7	11	23	16
11	AD San Rafael	14	3	5	6	22	21	14
12	Orion FC (Usulutan)	13	1	0	12	15	52	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Olimpico Litoral	AD Tenancingo
CD Neo Pipil	1-2 L	0-1 L
CD Audaz	3-3 D	1-3 L
CD El Vencedor	1-1 D	3-2 W
CD Sal y Mar	0-1 L	0-4 L
AD San Rafael	2-0 W	3-2 W
AD SESA	3-2 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CD Olimpico Litoral (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CD Olimpico Litoral

WWLWWLDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	CD Neo Pipil El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	1-2	–	–	L
15/10	CD Dragon El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	1-1	–	–	D
09/10	CD Audaz El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	2-2	3-3	4	6	D
02/10	CD El Vencedor El Salvador Segunda Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/09	CD Sal y Mar El Salvador Segunda Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
26/09	Orion FC (Usulutan) El Salvador Segunda Division	–	5-2	–	–	W
22/09	AD San Rafael El Salvador Segunda Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
18/09	CD San Marcos El Salvador Segunda Division	1-1	1-2	10	6	L
15/09	AD SESA El Salvador Segunda Division	2-1	3-2	4	3	W
11/09	AD Tenancingo El Salvador Segunda Division	–	4-1	–	–	W

AD Tenancingo

WDWLLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	AD SESA El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	3-1	–	–	W
01/10	CD Neo Pipil El Salvador Segunda Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/09	CD Audaz El Salvador Segunda Division	–	1-3	–	–	L
24/09	Independiente San Vicente El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	0-4	–	–	L
20/09	CD El Vencedor El Salvador Segunda Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
16/09	CD Sal y Mar El Salvador Segunda Division	0-1	0-4	3	1	L
11/09	CD Olimpico Litoral El Salvador Segunda Division	–	1-4	–	–	L
10/09	AD San Rafael El Salvador Segunda Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
04/09	CD San Marcos de Jiquilisco El Salvador Segunda Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
30/08	AD SESA El Salvador Liga de Ascenso	–	4-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Olimpico Litoral vs AD Tenancingo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Olimpico Litoral win (50%). Probabilities: CD Olimpico Litoral 50%, draw 25%, AD Tenancingo 25%.

How many goals are expected in CD Olimpico Litoral vs AD Tenancingo?

The model expects 3.48 goals (CD Olimpico Litoral 2.04 · AD Tenancingo 1.44), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Olimpico Litoral vs AD Tenancingo?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.