Football · Panama Liga Prom · 18/10, 16:00
Prediction: La Familia FC vs Bocas
Team pages: La Familia FC · Bocas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.55Total
La Familia FC1.35
Bocas2.19
1X2
La Familia FC
Draw
Bocas
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
La Familia FC
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Bocas
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
La Familia FC
0–1–5
Bocas
(6 last)
- Bocas1-1La Familia FC
- Bocas7-0La Familia FC
- La Familia FC0-1Bocas
- La Familia FC0-4Bocas
- Bocas4-1La Familia FC
- Bocas2-1La Familia FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · La Familia FC 1398 · Bocas 1449
| La Familia FC | Draw | Bocas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| Market | 22% | 23% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bocas (rating 1398 vs 1449).
- H2H favours Bocas: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 14.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| La Familia FC | Bocas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.8 | 1.3 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 0.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7.1 / 0.8 | 7.2 / 1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · La Familia FC 0–1–5 Bocas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 Panama Liga Prom | Bocas | 1-1 HT 0-1 | La Familia FC |
| 12/04/26 Panama Liga Prom | Bocas | 7-0 HT 2-0 | La Familia FC |
| 24/01/26 Panama Liga Prom | La Familia FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Bocas |
| 02/10/25 Panama Liga Prom | La Familia FC | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Bocas |
| 17/08/25 Panama Liga Prom | Bocas | 4-1 HT 2-0 | La Familia FC |
| 27/05/25 Panama Liga Prom | Bocas | 2-1 HT 0-1 | La Familia FC |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Universitario Reserves | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 20 |
| 2 | Veraguas United Reserves | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 27 | 14 |
| 3 | Rayados de Chiriqui | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 28 | 11 |
| 4 | Bocas | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 7 |
| 5 | Herrera FC Reserves | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 7 |
| 6 | La Familia FC | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 29 | 5 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | La Familia FC | Bocas |
|---|---|---|
| SD Atletico Nacional | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| San Francisco Reserves | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Udelas FC | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Aguilas de la U | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Union Cocle Reserves | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| CD Universitario Reserves | 3-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Herrera FC Reserves | 1-5 L | 1-3 L |
| Veraguas United Reserves | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Rayados de Chiriqui | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 8 L | 1 W 3 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Bocas (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
La Familia FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 11 | L |
| 27/09 | San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 19/09 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 13 | W |
| 29/08 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 22/08 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
3-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 16/08 | Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 1-5 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 07/08 | Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
Bocas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/09 | Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | CA Independiente de la Chorrera Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/09 | San Francisco Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/08 | Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 15/08 | CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 08/08 | Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 02/08 | Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in La Familia FC vs Bocas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bocas win (56%). Probabilities: La Familia FC 22%, draw 23%, Bocas 56%.
How many goals are expected in La Familia FC vs Bocas?
The model expects 3.55 goals (La Familia FC 1.35 · Bocas 2.19), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in La Familia FC vs Bocas?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.