Football · Thailand Division 3 · 11/10, 10:30

Prediction: North Bangkok University vs Royal Thai Air Force FC

Team pages: North Bangkok University · Royal Thai Air Force FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

North Bangkok University1.36

Royal Thai Air Force FC1

1X2

44% 28% 27%

North Bangkok University Draw Royal Thai Air Force FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

North Bangkok University 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLDLWLWW

Royal Thai Air Force FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWLDLW

Head-to-head

North Bangkok University 2–3–1 Royal Thai Air Force FC (6 last)

North Bangkok University0-2Royal Thai Air Force FC
Royal Thai Air Force FC0-1North Bangkok University
Royal Thai Air Force FC0-0North Bangkok University
North Bangkok University1-1Royal Thai Air Force FC
Royal Thai Air Force FC1-1North Bangkok University
North Bangkok University2-0Royal Thai Air Force FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · North Bangkok University 1580 · Royal Thai Air Force FC 1523

	North Bangkok University	Draw	Royal Thai Air Force FC
Our model	44%	30%	26%
Market	45%	27%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours North Bangkok University (rating 1580 vs 1523).
H2H favours North Bangkok University: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	North Bangkok University	Royal Thai Air Force FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.3	1.7 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.30

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:07 +12’	2.00	3.30	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · North Bangkok University 2–3–1 Royal Thai Air Force FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/01/26 Thailand Division 3	North Bangkok University	0-2 HT 0-1	Royal Thai Air Force FC
20/09/25 Thailand Division 3	Royal Thai Air Force FC	0-1 HT 0-0	North Bangkok University
19/01/25 Thailand Division 3	Royal Thai Air Force FC	0-0 HT 0-0	North Bangkok University
22/09/24 Thailand Division 3	North Bangkok University	1-1 HT 0-0	Royal Thai Air Force FC
10/02/24 Thailand Division 3	Royal Thai Air Force FC	1-1 HT 0-1	North Bangkok University
03/12/23 Thailand Division 3	North Bangkok University	2-0 HT 2-0	Royal Thai Air Force FC

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	North Bangkok University	Royal Thai Air Force FC
Singburi Warriors	6-1 W	2-1 W
Prime Bangkok	4-2 W	0-3 L
Pathum Thani University	0-0 D	0-0 D
Ang Thong FC	1-2 L	4-2 W
Kasem Bundit University	2-1 W	0-1 L
Saraburi United	2-0 W	1-0 W
Chamchuri Utd	2-2 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: North Bangkok University (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

North Bangkok University

DWWLDLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Singburi Warriors Thailand Division 3	2-1	6-1	4	4	W
16/05	Chiangmai FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
02/05	Uttaradit FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
28/04	Prime Bangkok Thailand Division 3	2-1	4-2	9	4	W
25/04	Uttaradit FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
21/03	Pathum Thani University Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	4	9	D
07/03	Ang Thong FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
28/02	Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3	0-1	2-1	8	4	W
21/02	Saraburi United Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
15/02	Chamchuri Utd Thailand Division 3	1-1	2-2	1	3	D

Royal Thai Air Force FC

WWWLWWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/03	Futera United Thailand Division 3	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
08/03	Chamchuri Utd Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-2	7	0	L
01/03	Pathum Thani University Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
15/02	Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-1	2	8	L
10/02	Saraburi United Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
31/01	Lopburi City FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
24/01	Prime Bangkok Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-3	8	5	L
17/01	Ang Thong FC Thailand Division 3	2-2	4-2	6	7	W
11/01	North Bangkok University Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
23/11	Singburi Warriors Thailand Division 3	2-0	2-1	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in North Bangkok University vs Royal Thai Air Force FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a North Bangkok University win (44%). Probabilities: North Bangkok University 44%, draw 28%, Royal Thai Air Force FC 27%.

How many goals are expected in North Bangkok University vs Royal Thai Air Force FC?

The model expects 2.36 goals (North Bangkok University 1.36 · Royal Thai Air Force FC 1), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in North Bangkok University vs Royal Thai Air Force FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.