Football · Thailand Division 3 · 18/10, 10:30

Prediction: Royal Thai Air Force FC vs Ang Thong FC

Team pages: Royal Thai Air Force FC · Ang Thong FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

Royal Thai Air Force FC1.43

Ang Thong FC1.18

1X2

42% 27% 30%

Royal Thai Air Force FC Draw Ang Thong FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Royal Thai Air Force FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLDLWL

Ang Thong FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWWWWD

Head-to-head

Royal Thai Air Force FC 2–1–1 Ang Thong FC (4 last)

Royal Thai Air Force FC4-2Ang Thong FC
Ang Thong FC1-2Royal Thai Air Force FC
Ang Thong FC1-0Royal Thai Air Force FC
Royal Thai Air Force FC0-0Ang Thong FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Royal Thai Air Force FC 1507 · Ang Thong FC 1548

	Royal Thai Air Force FC	Draw	Ang Thong FC
Our model	42%	29%	30%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ang Thong FC (rating 1507 vs 1548).
H2H favours Royal Thai Air Force FC: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Royal Thai Air Force FC	Ang Thong FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	1.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5	2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.40

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:31 +11’	2.10	3.40	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Royal Thai Air Force FC 2–1–1 Ang Thong FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/01/26 Thailand Division 3	Royal Thai Air Force FC	4-2 HT 2-2	Ang Thong FC
27/09/25 Thailand Division 3	Ang Thong FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Royal Thai Air Force FC
26/01/25 Thailand Division 3	Ang Thong FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Royal Thai Air Force FC
29/09/24 Thailand Division 3	Royal Thai Air Force FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Ang Thong FC

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Royal Thai Air Force FC	Ang Thong FC
North Bangkok University	1-2 L	2-1 W
Futera United	2-1 W	1-0 W
Chamchuri Utd	1-2 L	3-0 W
Pathum Thani University	0-0 D	0-1 L
Kasem Bundit University	0-1 L	2-2 D
Saraburi United	1-0 W	2-0 W
Lopburi City FC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ang Thong FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Royal Thai Air Force FC

WWLWWLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	North Bangkok University Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-2	7	4	L
21/03	Futera United Thailand Division 3	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
08/03	Chamchuri Utd Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-2	7	0	L
01/03	Pathum Thani University Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
15/02	Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-1	2	8	L
10/02	Saraburi United Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
31/01	Lopburi City FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
24/01	Prime Bangkok Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-3	8	5	L
17/01	Ang Thong FC Thailand Division 3	2-2	4-2	6	7	W
11/01	North Bangkok University Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-0	4	3	W

Ang Thong FC

LLWWLWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3	0-2	2-2	2	7	D
20/09	Chamchuri Utd Thailand Division 3	0-0	3-0	4	0	W
14/03	Futera United Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-0	7	6	W
07/03	North Bangkok University Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-1	1	4	W
01/03	Lopburi City FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
22/02	Kasem Bundit University Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
14/02	Saraburi United Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-0	3	1	W
10/02	Chamchuri Utd Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
25/01	Pathum Thani University Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
17/01	Royal Thai Air Force FC Thailand Division 3	2-2	2-4	2	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Royal Thai Air Force FC vs Ang Thong FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Royal Thai Air Force FC win (42%). Probabilities: Royal Thai Air Force FC 42%, draw 27%, Ang Thong FC 30%.

How many goals are expected in Royal Thai Air Force FC vs Ang Thong FC?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Royal Thai Air Force FC 1.43 · Ang Thong FC 1.18), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Royal Thai Air Force FC vs Ang Thong FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.