Football · Thailand Division 3 · 18/10, 10:30

Prediction: VRN Muangnont FC vs Assumption United

Team pages: VRN Muangnont FC · Assumption United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
VRN Muangnont FC1.27
Assumption United1.17
1X2
38% 28% 33%
VRN Muangnont FC Draw Assumption United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
VRN Muangnont FC 1-7-2 (W-D-L)
DDLLDWDDDD
Assumption United 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DLDLWLLLWW
Head-to-head
VRN Muangnont FC 2–1 Assumption United (3 last)
  • VRN Muangnont FC1-0Assumption United
  • Assumption United3-2VRN Muangnont FC
  • Assumption United0-2VRN Muangnont FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VRN Muangnont FC 1481 · Assumption United 1489
VRN Muangnont FCDrawAssumption United
Our model37%30%33%
Market39%27%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours VRN Muangnont FC: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

VRN Muangnont FCAssumption United
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.10.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.41.4 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.13.9 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · VRN Muangnont FC 2–0–1 Assumption United

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/03/26
Thailand Division 3
VRN Muangnont FC1-0
HT 0-0
Assumption United
16/11/25
Thailand Division 3
Assumption United3-2
HT 3-0
VRN Muangnont FC
26/01/25
Thailand Division 3
Assumption United0-2
HT 0-0
VRN Muangnont FC

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVRN Muangnont FCAssumption United
Thonburi United FC 1-1 D 2-3 L
Suphanburi FC 3-3 D 0-1 L
Royal Thai Army 1-1 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: VRN Muangnont FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VRN Muangnont FC

DDLLDWDDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-1 74 D
04/10 Suphanburi FC
Thailand Division 3
2-2 3-3 46 D
20/09 Thap Luang United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 66 D
22/03 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-1 –– D
08/03 Assumption United
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 27 W
28/02 Suphanburi FC
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-1 52 D
21/02 Thap Luang United
Thailand Division 3
0-2 0-2 40 L
14/02 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-2 53 L
10/02 Samut Songkhram City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 45 D
31/01 Nonthaburi United
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-1 34 D

Assumption United

DLDLWLLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 43 W
03/10 Phetchaburi PBRU FC
Thailand Division 3
2-1 2-1 54 W
20/09 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 2-3 35 L
14/03 Thonburi United FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-2 –– L
08/03 VRN Muangnont FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 27 L
22/02 Raj Pracha
Thailand Division 3
0-0 2-0 43 W
14/02 Suphanburi FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-1 53 L
11/02 Royal Thai Army
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-0 43 D
01/02 Samut Sakhon
Thailand Division 3
0-0 0-3 27 L
25/01 Hua Hin City
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-1 53 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VRN Muangnont FC vs Assumption United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a VRN Muangnont FC win (38%). Probabilities: VRN Muangnont FC 38%, draw 28%, Assumption United 33%.

How many goals are expected in VRN Muangnont FC vs Assumption United?

The model expects 2.43 goals (VRN Muangnont FC 1.27 · Assumption United 1.17), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in VRN Muangnont FC vs Assumption United?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.