Football · Thailand Division 3 · 17/10, 13:00

Prediction: Roi-Et PB United vs Ubon Krua Napat FC

Team pages: Roi-Et PB United · Ubon Krua Napat FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Roi-Et PB United1.88

Ubon Krua Napat FC1.06

1X2

56% 24% 20%

Roi-Et PB United Draw Ubon Krua Napat FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Roi-Et PB United 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWWWDL

Ubon Krua Napat FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDLWLDLD

Head-to-head

Roi-Et PB United 2–2 Ubon Krua Napat FC (4 last)

Ubon Krua Napat FC1-3Roi-Et PB United
Ubon Krua Napat FC1-0Roi-Et PB United
Ubon Krua Napat FC1-0Roi-Et PB United
Roi-Et PB United2-1Ubon Krua Napat FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Roi-Et PB United 1539 · Ubon Krua Napat FC 1448

	Roi-Et PB United	Draw	Ubon Krua Napat FC
Our model	55%	25%	20%
Market	56%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roi-Et PB United (rating 1539 vs 1448).
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Roi-Et PB United	Ubon Krua Napat FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.8	0.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.3	1.4 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.80

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
22:00 +49’	1.60	3.80	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Roi-Et PB United 2–0–2 Ubon Krua Napat FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/12/25 Thailand Division 3 Cup	Ubon Krua Napat FC	1-3 HT 0-2	Roi-Et PB United
05/10/25 Thailand Division 3	Ubon Krua Napat FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Roi-Et PB United
25/01/25 Thailand Division 3	Ubon Krua Napat FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Roi-Et PB United
29/09/24 Thailand Division 3	Roi-Et PB United	2-1 HT 1-0	Ubon Krua Napat FC

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Roi-Et PB United	Ubon Krua Napat FC
Khonkaen Mordindang FC	0-1 L	2-1 W
Udon United	0-0 D	0-3 L
EUMT FC	2-0 W	0-2 L
Muang Loei United	2-3 L	1-1 D
Khonkaen	1-1 D	1-1 D
Korat City FC	6-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Roi-Et PB United (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Roi-Et PB United

WWDLWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Khonkaen Mordindang FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
03/10	Udon United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
27/09	EUMT FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-0	2	3	W
20/09	Yasothon FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
22/03	Surin Khongcheemoon FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
07/03	Khonkaen Mordindang FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
11/02	Muang Loei United Thailand Division 3	1-1	2-3	2	5	L
22/11	Khonkaen Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
16/11	Khonkaen Mordindang FC Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
08/11	Korat City FC Thailand Division 3	1-1	6-1	9	3	W

Ubon Krua Napat FC

LLWDLWLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Khonkaen Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
27/09	Udon Banjan United Thailand Division 3	1-0	2-5	4	3	L
18/09	Korat City FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
15/02	Khonkaen Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
10/02	Korat City FC Thailand Division 3	1-1	3-2	3	4	W
31/01	EUMT FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
11/01	Muang Loei United Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
23/11	Khonkaen Mordindang FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	2-1	3	7	W
16/11	Udon United Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-3	4	5	L
25/10	Khonkaen Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-3	1	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Roi-Et PB United vs Ubon Krua Napat FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Roi-Et PB United win (56%). Probabilities: Roi-Et PB United 56%, draw 24%, Ubon Krua Napat FC 20%.

How many goals are expected in Roi-Et PB United vs Ubon Krua Napat FC?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Roi-Et PB United 1.88 · Ubon Krua Napat FC 1.06), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Roi-Et PB United vs Ubon Krua Napat FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.