Football · Thailand Division 3 · 17/10, 11:30

Prediction: Customs United vs Marines FC Sattahip

Team pages: Customs United · Marines FC Sattahip

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Customs United1.73
Marines FC Sattahip1.04
1X2
53% 25% 22%
Customs United Draw Marines FC Sattahip
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Customs United 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WWLLWDLDWL
Marines FC Sattahip 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DDLLDWWDLL
Head-to-head
Customs United 1–1–1 Marines FC Sattahip (3 last)
  • Customs United1-1Marines FC Sattahip
  • Marines FC Sattahip0-1Customs United
  • Marines FC Sattahip2-1Customs United
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Customs United 1491 · Marines FC Sattahip 1448
Customs UnitedDrawMarines FC Sattahip
Our model53%26%22%
Market53%25%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Customs United (rating 1491 vs 1448).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Customs UnitedMarines FC Sattahip
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 21 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.90.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 3.92.2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 05 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Customs United 1–1–1 Marines FC Sattahip

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/02/26
Thailand Division 3
Customs United1-1
HT 1-1
Marines FC Sattahip
26/10/25
Thailand Division 3
Marines FC Sattahip0-1
HT 0-0
Customs United
16/02/25
Thailand Division 3
Marines FC Sattahip2-1
HT 1-0
Customs United

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCustoms UnitedMarines FC Sattahip
Burapha United 2-7 L 1-4 L
ACDC FC 3-2 W 1-1 D
Pluak Daeng United 3-3 D 1-2 L
Chachoengsao FC 1-0 W 1-2 L
Fleet FC 0-1 L 1-1 D
BFB Pattaya City 2-0 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Customs United (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Customs United

WWLLWDLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Burapha United
Thailand Division 3
0-3 2-7 34 L
15/03 ACDC FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 3-2 52 W
28/02 Pluak Daeng United
Thailand Division 3
2-1 3-3 45 D
21/02 Saimit Kabin United
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-1 13 L
15/02 Marines FC Sattahip
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-1 53 D
01/02 Chachoengsao FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 105 W
24/01 Bankhai United
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-2 51 L
17/01 Fleet FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-1 15 L
11/01 BFB Pattaya City
Thailand Division 3
1-0 2-0 36 W
22/11 ACDC FC
Thailand Division 3
3-0 4-3 28 W

Marines FC Sattahip

DDLLDWWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Chachoengsao FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-2 66 L
04/10 Pluak Daeng United
Thailand Division 3
1-0 1-2 48 L
08/03 BFB Pattaya City
Thailand Division 3
2-0 2-2 45 D
28/02 Chachoengsao FC
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 37 W
21/02 Padriew City
Thailand Division 3
0-0 1-0 41 W
15/02 Customs United
Thailand Division 3
1-1 1-1 13 D
10/02 Royal Navy
Thailand Division 3
0-1 0-3 64 L
31/01 Burapha United
Thailand Division 3
0-2 1-4 34 L
24/01 Fleet FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-1 58 D
11/01 ACDC FC
Thailand Division 3
0-1 1-1 37 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Customs United vs Marines FC Sattahip?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Customs United win (53%). Probabilities: Customs United 53%, draw 25%, Marines FC Sattahip 22%.

How many goals are expected in Customs United vs Marines FC Sattahip?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Customs United 1.73 · Marines FC Sattahip 1.04), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Customs United vs Marines FC Sattahip?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.