Football · Thailand Division 3 · 11/10, 10:30

Prediction: Marines FC Sattahip vs Chachoengsao FC

Team pages: Marines FC Sattahip · Chachoengsao FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.98Total

Marines FC Sattahip1

Chachoengsao FC0.97

1X2

35% 32% 33%

Marines FC Sattahip Draw Chachoengsao FC

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Marines FC Sattahip 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDDLLDWWDL

Chachoengsao FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLDDWLWLLW

Head-to-head

Marines FC Sattahip 2–2–2 Chachoengsao FC (6 last)

Marines FC Sattahip1-0Chachoengsao FC
Chachoengsao FC1-0Marines FC Sattahip
Marines FC Sattahip1-1Chachoengsao FC
Chachoengsao FC1-1Marines FC Sattahip
Marines FC Sattahip2-1Chachoengsao FC
Marines FC Sattahip0-1Chachoengsao FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marines FC Sattahip 1469 · Chachoengsao FC 1500

	Marines FC Sattahip	Draw	Chachoengsao FC
Our model	34%	34%	32%
Market	36%	30%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 1.98 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Marines FC Sattahip	Chachoengsao FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	0.6 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.7	2 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	4.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.00

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.75

Under 22.05

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
20:16 +2’	2.50	3.00	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Marines FC Sattahip 2–2–2 Chachoengsao FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Thailand Division 3	Marines FC Sattahip	1-0 HT 0-0	Chachoengsao FC
08/11/25 Thailand Division 3	Chachoengsao FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Marines FC Sattahip
22/03/25 Thailand Division 3	Marines FC Sattahip	1-1 HT 0-1	Chachoengsao FC
24/11/24 Thailand Division 3	Chachoengsao FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Marines FC Sattahip
18/11/23 Thailand Division 3	Marines FC Sattahip	2-1 HT 1-0	Chachoengsao FC
04/03/23 Thailand Division 3	Marines FC Sattahip	0-1 HT 0-1	Chachoengsao FC

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Marines FC Sattahip	Chachoengsao FC
Pluak Daeng United	1-2 L	1-1 D
BFB Pattaya City	2-2 D	1-2 L
Padriew City	1-0 W	1-0 W
Customs United	1-1 D	0-1 L
Royal Navy	0-3 L	1-0 W
Burapha United	1-4 L	0-2 L
ACDC FC	1-1 D	1-0 W
Saimit Kabin United	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Chachoengsao FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marines FC Sattahip

DDDLLDWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3	1-0	1-2	4	8	L
08/03	BFB Pattaya City Thailand Division 3	2-0	2-2	4	5	D
28/02	Chachoengsao FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
21/02	Padriew City Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
15/02	Customs United Thailand Division 3	1-1	1-1	1	3	D
10/02	Royal Navy Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-3	6	4	L
31/01	Burapha United Thailand Division 3	0-2	1-4	3	4	L
24/01	Fleet FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-1	5	8	D
11/01	ACDC FC Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-1	3	7	D
22/11	Saimit Kabin United Thailand Division 3	0-0	2-2	4	3	D

Chachoengsao FC

DLDDWLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Royal Navy Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
07/03	Burapha United Thailand Division 3	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
28/02	Marines FC Sattahip Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
11/02	Padriew City Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
01/02	Customs United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
25/01	ACDC FC Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-0	11	7	W
18/01	Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
11/01	Saimit Kabin United Thailand Division 3	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
23/11	BFB Pattaya City Thailand Division 3	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
15/11	Burapha United Thailand Division 3	0-0	0-0	0	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marines FC Sattahip vs Chachoengsao FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Marines FC Sattahip win (35%). Probabilities: Marines FC Sattahip 35%, draw 32%, Chachoengsao FC 33%.

How many goals are expected in Marines FC Sattahip vs Chachoengsao FC?

The model expects 1.98 goals (Marines FC Sattahip 1 · Chachoengsao FC 0.97), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Marines FC Sattahip vs Chachoengsao FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.