Football · Thailand Division 3 · 11/10, 10:30
Prediction: Royal Navy vs Pluak Daeng United
Team pages: Royal Navy · Pluak Daeng United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Royal Navy1.63
Pluak Daeng United0.88
1X2
Royal Navy
Draw
Pluak Daeng United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Royal Navy
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Pluak Daeng United
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Royal Navy
3–3–0
Pluak Daeng United
(6 last)
- Pluak Daeng United0-2Royal Navy
- Royal Navy0-0Pluak Daeng United
- Pluak Daeng United1-1Royal Navy
- Royal Navy2-1Pluak Daeng United
- Royal Navy1-1Pluak Daeng United
- Pluak Daeng United0-1Royal Navy
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Royal Navy 1502 · Pluak Daeng United 1471
| Royal Navy | Draw | Pluak Daeng United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 27% | 19% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Royal Navy: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Royal Navy | Pluak Daeng United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.4 | 2.1 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Royal Navy 3–3–0 Pluak Daeng United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Thailand Division 3 | Pluak Daeng United | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Royal Navy |
| 02/11/25 Thailand Division 3 | Royal Navy | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Pluak Daeng United |
| 23/03/25 Thailand Division 3 | Pluak Daeng United | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Royal Navy |
| 23/11/24 Thailand Division 3 | Royal Navy | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Pluak Daeng United |
| 17/12/23 Thailand Division 3 | Royal Navy | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Pluak Daeng United |
| 11/03/23 Thailand Division 3 | Pluak Daeng United | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Royal Navy |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Royal Navy | Pluak Daeng United |
|---|---|---|
| Chachoengsao FC | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| BFB Pattaya City | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Fleet FC | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Marines FC Sattahip | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Padriew City | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Customs United | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Royal Navy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Chachoengsao FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | BFB Pattaya City Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/03 | Fleet FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 15 | L |
| 22/02 | Pluak Daeng United Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 14/02 | Saimit Kabin United Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 10/02 | Marines FC Sattahip Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/02 | ACDC FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 25/01 | Padriew City Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 23/11 | Fleet FC Thailand Division 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/11 | Customs United Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | D |
Pluak Daeng United
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Marines FC Sattahip Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 15/03 | Burapha United Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/03 | Padriew City Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 28/02 | Customs United Thailand Division 3 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 22/02 | Royal Navy Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 14/02 | BFB Pattaya City Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/02 | Fleet FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 18/01 | Chachoengsao FC Thailand Division 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 10/01 | Bankhai United Thailand Division 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 23/11 | Burapha United Thailand Division 3 |
2-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Royal Navy vs Pluak Daeng United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Royal Navy win (54%). Probabilities: Royal Navy 54%, draw 27%, Pluak Daeng United 19%.
How many goals are expected in Royal Navy vs Pluak Daeng United?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Royal Navy 1.63 · Pluak Daeng United 0.88), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Royal Navy vs Pluak Daeng United?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.