Prediction: Yau Tsim Mong vs Wong Tai Sin
Team pages: Yau Tsim Mong · Wong Tai Sin
- Wong Tai Sin1-2Yau Tsim Mong
- Wong Tai Sin3-3Yau Tsim Mong
- Yau Tsim Mong1-2Wong Tai Sin
| Yau Tsim Mong | Draw | Wong Tai Sin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| Market | 38% | 22% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wong Tai Sin (rating 1430 vs 1512).
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yau Tsim Mong | Wong Tai Sin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.7 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.3 | 2.2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yau Tsim Mong 1–1–1 Wong Tai Sin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/25 Hong Kong 2nd Division | Wong Tai Sin | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Yau Tsim Mong |
| 16/03/25 Hong Kong 2nd Division | Wong Tai Sin | 3-3 HT 1-0 | Yau Tsim Mong |
| 01/12/24 Hong Kong 2nd Division | Yau Tsim Mong | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Wong Tai Sin |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yau Tsim Mong | Wong Tai Sin |
|---|---|---|
| GFC Friends | 2-2 D | 3-3 D |
| Tuen Mun SA | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Kwai Tsing DFA | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Wing Yee | 3-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Wong Tai Sin (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yau Tsim Mong
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Sui Tung Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 13/09 | Tsun Tat Kwok Keung Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 06/09 | Tuen Mun SA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Kwai Tsing DFA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Wanchai Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 3-5 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 1-4 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 01/03 | Leaper FC Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 01/02 | Sui Tung Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-2 | 1-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
Wong Tai Sin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Tuen Mun SA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Double Flower Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | Sun Hei Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Kwai Tsing DFA Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 17/05 | Kowloon Cricket Club Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 08/03 | P.B Alliance Hong Kong 2nd Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 04/01 | Fukien Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 21/12 | Kui Tan SC Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 14/12 | Wing Yee Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 30/11 | GFC Friends Hong Kong 2nd Division |
0-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yau Tsim Mong vs Wong Tai Sin?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Wong Tai Sin win (39%). Probabilities: Yau Tsim Mong 37%, draw 24%, Wong Tai Sin 39%.
How many goals are expected in Yau Tsim Mong vs Wong Tai Sin?
The model expects 3.25 goals (Yau Tsim Mong 1.59 · Wong Tai Sin 1.65), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Yau Tsim Mong vs Wong Tai Sin?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.