Football · Hong Kong 2nd Division · 11/10, 09:00

Prediction: GFC Friends vs Sui Tung

Team pages: GFC Friends · Sui Tung

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.8Total
GFC Friends1.55
Sui Tung2.25
1X2
26% 21% 53%
GFC Friends Draw Sui Tung
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
GFC Friends 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WLWLWWLLWD
Sui Tung 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWWWLLLDLD
Head-to-head
GFC Friends 3–2 Sui Tung (5 last)
  • Sui Tung1-4GFC Friends
  • GFC Friends1-3Sui Tung
  • Sui Tung0-2GFC Friends
  • GFC Friends0-3Sui Tung
  • GFC Friends7-2Sui Tung
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GFC Friends 1552 · Sui Tung 1485
GFC FriendsDrawSui Tung
Our model25%22%53%
Market26%20%54%
Estimated total (ours) 3.8 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GFC Friends (rating 1552 vs 1485).
  • H2H favours GFC Friends: 3-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GFC FriendsSui Tung
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 2.11.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 10.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.61.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.13.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · GFC Friends 3–0–2 Sui Tung

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
Hong Kong 2nd Division
Sui Tung1-4
HT 0-2
GFC Friends
28/09/25
Hong Kong 2nd Division
GFC Friends1-3
HT 0-0
Sui Tung
09/02/25
Hong Kong 3rd Division
Sui Tung0-2
HT 0-2
GFC Friends
22/12/24
Hong Kong 3rd Division
GFC Friends0-3
HT 0-1
Sui Tung
26/05/24
Hong Kong 3rd Division
GFC Friends7-2
HT 4-2
Sui Tung

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGFC FriendsSui Tung
Yau Tsim Mong 2-2 D 2-2 D
Double Flower 1-6 L 0-2 L
Wanchai 1-2 L 3-1 W
Wing Yee 4-2 W 2-0 W
Kui Tan SC 0-2 L 2-5 L
Leaper FC 2-1 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GFC Friends

WLWLWWLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 Yau Tsim Mong
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-1 2-2 72 D
13/09 Tuen Mun SA
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-0 1-0 57 W
06/09 Double Flower
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-3 1-6 23 L
24/05 Wanchai
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-0 1-2 –– L
10/05 Sui Tung
Hong Kong 2nd Division
2-0 4-1 –– W
26/04 Wing Yee
Hong Kong 2nd Division
2-1 4-2 57 W
12/04 Kwai Tsing DFA
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-2 3-4 46 L
22/03 Yau Tsim Mong
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-0 4-1 63 W
01/03 Kui Tan SC
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-2 0-2 00 L
01/02 Leaper FC
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-1 2-1 80 W

Sui Tung

LWWWLLLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Yau Tsim Mong
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-0 2-2 22 D
13/09 Double Flower
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-0 0-2 34 L
06/09 Sun Hei
Hong Kong 2nd Division
2-2 2-2 98 D
10/05 GFC Friends
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-2 1-4 –– L
26/04 Kui Tan SC
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-3 2-5 41 L
12/04 Leaper FC
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-0 0-1 33 L
22/03 Wing Yee
Hong Kong 2nd Division
0-0 2-0 54 W
01/03 Wanchai
Hong Kong 2nd Division
2-1 3-1 13 W
01/02 Yau Tsim Mong
Hong Kong 2nd Division
2-1 6-1 82 W
04/01 Wing Yee
Hong Kong 2nd Division
1-2 1-2 63 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GFC Friends vs Sui Tung?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sui Tung win (53%). Probabilities: GFC Friends 26%, draw 21%, Sui Tung 53%.

How many goals are expected in GFC Friends vs Sui Tung?

The model expects 3.8 goals (GFC Friends 1.55 · Sui Tung 2.25), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in GFC Friends vs Sui Tung?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.