Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 17/10, 10:00

Prediction: Richards Bay FC Reserves vs Golden Arrows Reserves

Team pages: Richards Bay FC Reserves · Golden Arrows Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

Richards Bay FC Reserves1.81

Golden Arrows Reserves1.72

1X2

39% 25% 36%

Richards Bay FC Reserves Draw Golden Arrows Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Richards Bay FC Reserves 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLDLWWWLL

Golden Arrows Reserves 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLWLWW

Head-to-head

Richards Bay FC Reserves 2–3–1 Golden Arrows Reserves (6 last)

Richards Bay FC Reserves3-4Golden Arrows Reserves
Golden Arrows Reserves1-3Richards Bay FC Reserves
Golden Arrows Reserves0-1Richards Bay FC Reserves
Richards Bay FC Reserves2-2Golden Arrows Reserves
Richards Bay FC Reserves0-0Golden Arrows Reserves
Golden Arrows Reserves2-2Richards Bay FC Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Richards Bay FC Reserves 1499 · Golden Arrows Reserves 1507

	Richards Bay FC Reserves	Draw	Golden Arrows Reserves
Our model	40%	24%	36%
Market	39%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Richards Bay FC Reserves: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Richards Bay FC Reserves	Golden Arrows Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1	2.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/17/33%	13/63/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 2.6	2.6 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.50

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:29 +9’	2.30	3.50	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Richards Bay FC Reserves 2–3–1 Golden Arrows Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Richards Bay FC Reserves	3-4 HT 0-3	Golden Arrows Reserves
06/09/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Golden Arrows Reserves	1-3 HT 0-3	Richards Bay FC Reserves
01/02/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Golden Arrows Reserves	0-1 HT 0-0	Richards Bay FC Reserves
17/11/24 South Africa Diski Challenge	Richards Bay FC Reserves	2-2 HT 1-2	Golden Arrows Reserves
21/04/24 South Africa Diski Challenge	Richards Bay FC Reserves	0-0 HT 0-0	Golden Arrows Reserves
14/10/23 South Africa Diski Challenge	Golden Arrows Reserves	2-2 HT 1-1	Richards Bay FC Reserves

Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	3	3	0	0	8	4	9
2	Amazulu Reserves	3	2	1	0	4	0	7
3	TS Galaxy Reserves	3	2	1	0	2	0	7
4	Golden Arrows Reserves	3	2	0	1	12	6	6
5	Siwelele FC Reserves	3	2	0	1	4	2	6
6	Sekhukhune United Reserves	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
7	Orlando Pirates Reserves	3	1	0	2	7	6	3
8	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	2	1	0	1	6	6	3
9	Kruger United Reserves	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
9	Milford FC Reserves	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
11	Richards Bay FC Reserves	3	1	0	2	2	3	3
12	Chippa United Reserves	3	1	0	2	4	12	3
13	Marumo Gallants Reserves	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
14	Polokwane City Reserves	2	0	0	2	2	4	0
15	Durban City Reserves	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
16	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	2	0	0	2	2	6	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Richards Bay FC Reserves	Golden Arrows Reserves
Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	0-1 L	1-2 L
Amazulu Reserves	0-2 L	0-2 L
Polokwane City Reserves	3-0 W	3-2 W
Chippa United Reserves	2-1 W	9-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Richards Bay FC Reserves

WWLDLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-1	–	–	L
03/10	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-2	1	1	L
27/09	Milford FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
09/05	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-0	4-0	2	4	W
03/05	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
26/04	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	0-2	3	1	L
19/04	Marumo Gallants Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	2-2	–	–	D
12/04	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
04/04	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/03	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	2-1	6	5	W

Golden Arrows Reserves

WLLLWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	9-2	–	–	W
04/10	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	3-2	10	5	W
26/09	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
09/05	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	3-1	–	–	W
02/05	Magesi FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	3-5	3	4	L
25/04	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
19/04	Orbit College Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
11/04	Durban City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	1-4	4	5	L
04/04	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-2	9	5	L
28/03	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-1	3-1	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Richards Bay FC Reserves vs Golden Arrows Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Richards Bay FC Reserves win (39%). Probabilities: Richards Bay FC Reserves 39%, draw 25%, Golden Arrows Reserves 36%.

How many goals are expected in Richards Bay FC Reserves vs Golden Arrows Reserves?

The model expects 3.53 goals (Richards Bay FC Reserves 1.81 · Golden Arrows Reserves 1.72), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Richards Bay FC Reserves vs Golden Arrows Reserves?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.