Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 24/10, 10:00

Prediction: Amazulu Reserves vs Siwelele FC Reserves

Team pages: Amazulu Reserves · Siwelele FC Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.51Total

Amazulu Reserves1.17

Siwelele FC Reserves1.34

1X2

32% 28% 40%

Amazulu Reserves Draw Siwelele FC Reserves

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Amazulu Reserves 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLWWDL

Siwelele FC Reserves 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLWLLWWD

Head-to-head

Amazulu Reserves 0–3–1 Siwelele FC Reserves (4 last)

Siwelele FC Reserves1-1Amazulu Reserves
Amazulu Reserves2-2Siwelele FC Reserves
Amazulu Reserves3-4Siwelele FC Reserves
Amazulu Reserves1-1Siwelele FC Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amazulu Reserves 1497 · Siwelele FC Reserves 1514

	Amazulu Reserves	Draw	Siwelele FC Reserves
Our model	31%	29%	39%
Market	33%	26%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Amazulu Reserves	Siwelele FC Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	14/43/43%	11/78/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.6 / 1.9	1.3 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.4	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.40

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:13 +15’	2.75	3.40	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Amazulu Reserves 0–3–1 Siwelele FC Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Siwelele FC Reserves	1-1 HT 0-0	Amazulu Reserves
23/11/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Amazulu Reserves	2-2 HT 1-0	Siwelele FC Reserves
25/08/19 South Africa Diski Challenge	Amazulu Reserves	3-4 HT 1-2	Siwelele FC Reserves
13/01/19 South Africa Diski Challenge	Amazulu Reserves	1-1 HT 0-1	Siwelele FC Reserves

Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	4	4	0	0	12	4	12
2	Sekhukhune United Reserves	4	3	1	0	8	2	10
3	Golden Arrows Reserves	4	3	0	1	13	6	9
4	Amazulu Reserves	4	2	1	1	5	2	7
5	TS Galaxy Reserves	3	2	1	0	2	0	7
6	Siwelele FC Reserves	3	2	0	1	4	2	6
7	Marumo Gallants Reserves	4	1	1	2	5	9	4
8	Orlando Pirates Reserves	3	1	0	2	7	6	3
9	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	2	1	0	1	6	6	3
10	Kruger United Reserves	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
11	Milford FC Reserves	3	1	0	2	5	7	3
11	Polokwane City Reserves	4	1	0	3	5	7	3
13	Richards Bay FC Reserves	4	1	0	3	2	4	3
14	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	3	1	0	2	4	7	3
15	Chippa United Reserves	4	1	0	3	5	16	3
16	Durban City Reserves	3	0	0	3	2	7	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Amazulu Reserves	Siwelele FC Reserves
Golden Arrows Reserves	2-0 W	0-1 L
Chippa United Reserves	2-1 W	2-0 W
Orlando Pirates Reserves	1-2 L	2-1 W
Sekhukhune United Reserves	1-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Siwelele FC Reserves (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Amazulu Reserves

LLLWWLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	1-2	2	8	L
10/10	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	0-0	–	–	D
03/10	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	2-0	1	1	W
26/09	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	2-0	0	6	W
09/05	TS Galaxy Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
02/05	Durban City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	3-1	3	3	W
26/04	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
18/04	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-2	0	6	L
12/04	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	1-3	2	3	L
04/04	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	1-2	–	–	L

Siwelele FC Reserves

WDDLWLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
10/10	Orlando Pirates Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
03/10	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	2-0	6	3	W
26/09	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
09/05	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	2-3	3	3	L
02/05	Sekhukhune United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
25/04	Golden Arrows Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
19/04	Magesi FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
11/04	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
28/03	Marumo Gallants Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	2-1	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amazulu Reserves vs Siwelele FC Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Siwelele FC Reserves win (40%). Probabilities: Amazulu Reserves 32%, draw 28%, Siwelele FC Reserves 40%.

How many goals are expected in Amazulu Reserves vs Siwelele FC Reserves?

The model expects 2.51 goals (Amazulu Reserves 1.17 · Siwelele FC Reserves 1.34), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Amazulu Reserves vs Siwelele FC Reserves?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.