Football · South Africa Diski Challenge · 24/10, 10:00

Prediction: Orlando Pirates Reserves vs Golden Arrows Reserves

Team pages: Orlando Pirates Reserves · Golden Arrows Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

Orlando Pirates Reserves2.26

Golden Arrows Reserves0.97

1X2

66% 20% 14%

Orlando Pirates Reserves Draw Golden Arrows Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Orlando Pirates Reserves 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Golden Arrows Reserves 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Orlando Pirates Reserves 5–1 Golden Arrows Reserves (6 last)

Orlando Pirates Reserves1-2Golden Arrows Reserves
Golden Arrows Reserves1-2Orlando Pirates Reserves
Orlando Pirates Reserves1-0Golden Arrows Reserves
Golden Arrows Reserves0-1Orlando Pirates Reserves
Golden Arrows Reserves0-3Orlando Pirates Reserves
Orlando Pirates Reserves2-0Golden Arrows Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Orlando Pirates Reserves 1547 · Golden Arrows Reserves 1518

	Orlando Pirates Reserves	Draw	Golden Arrows Reserves
Our model	66%	20%	14%
Market	66%	20%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Orlando Pirates Reserves: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orlando Pirates Reserves	Golden Arrows Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.9	2.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	0/75/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.4	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.6	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.60

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36
X	4.60 → 4.60	Bet365 4.60
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:50 +37’	1.36	4.60	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Orlando Pirates Reserves 5–0–1 Golden Arrows Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 South Africa Diski Challenge	Orlando Pirates Reserves	1-2 HT 0-1	Golden Arrows Reserves
11/10/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Golden Arrows Reserves	1-2 HT 1-0	Orlando Pirates Reserves
09/03/25 South Africa Diski Challenge	Orlando Pirates Reserves	1-0 HT 1-0	Golden Arrows Reserves
12/10/24 South Africa Diski Challenge	Golden Arrows Reserves	0-1 HT 0-0	Orlando Pirates Reserves
20/01/24 South Africa Diski Challenge	Golden Arrows Reserves	0-3 HT 0-3	Orlando Pirates Reserves
13/05/23 South Africa Diski Challenge	Orlando Pirates Reserves	2-0 HT 1-0	Golden Arrows Reserves

Standings · South Africa Diski Challenge

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	4	4	0	0	12	4	12
2	Sekhukhune United Reserves	4	3	1	0	8	2	10
3	Golden Arrows Reserves	4	3	0	1	13	6	9
4	Amazulu Reserves	4	2	1	1	5	2	7
5	TS Galaxy Reserves	3	2	1	0	2	0	7
6	Siwelele FC Reserves	3	2	0	1	4	2	6
7	Marumo Gallants Reserves	4	1	1	2	5	9	4
8	Orlando Pirates Reserves	3	1	0	2	7	6	3
9	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves	2	1	0	1	6	6	3
10	Kruger United Reserves	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
11	Milford FC Reserves	3	1	0	2	5	7	3
11	Polokwane City Reserves	4	1	0	3	5	7	3
13	Richards Bay FC Reserves	4	1	0	3	2	4	3
14	Stellenbosch FC Reserves	3	1	0	2	4	7	3
15	Chippa United Reserves	4	1	0	3	5	16	3
16	Durban City Reserves	3	0	0	3	2	7	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orlando Pirates Reserves	Golden Arrows Reserves
Siwelele FC Reserves	1-2 L	1-0 W
Kaizer Chiefs Reserves	2-3 L	1-2 L
Chippa United Reserves	2-0 W	9-2 W
Magesi FC Reserves	2-1 W	3-5 L
Amazulu Reserves	2-1 W	0-2 L
Richards Bay FC Reserves	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orlando Pirates Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Kruger United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-1	10	3	D
10/10	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	1-2	6	2	L
03/10	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-0	4-1	2	8	W
27/09	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-3	2-3	4	6	L
09/05	Mamelodi Sundowns Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-0	2-0	1	1	W
02/05	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	2-0	9	8	W
25/04	Magesi FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	2-0	2-1	4	8	W
18/04	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	2-1	9	6	W
12/04	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
04/04	Stellenbosch FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-0	2	6	W

Golden Arrows Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Richards Bay FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-0	1	1	W
10/10	Chippa United Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	9-2	–	–	W
04/10	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	3-2	10	5	W
26/09	Amazulu Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
09/05	Polokwane City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	–	3-1	–	–	W
02/05	Magesi FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	1-1	3-5	3	4	L
25/04	Siwelele FC Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
19/04	Orbit College Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
11/04	Durban City Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-2	1-4	4	5	L
04/04	Kaizer Chiefs Reserves South Africa Diski Challenge	0-0	1-2	9	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orlando Pirates Reserves vs Golden Arrows Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Orlando Pirates Reserves win (66%). Probabilities: Orlando Pirates Reserves 66%, draw 20%, Golden Arrows Reserves 14%.

How many goals are expected in Orlando Pirates Reserves vs Golden Arrows Reserves?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Orlando Pirates Reserves 2.26 · Golden Arrows Reserves 0.97), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Orlando Pirates Reserves vs Golden Arrows Reserves?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.